NBA games

UTAH @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
113–124
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH27293225113
CLE29313925124

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home CLE
8% 92%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jordan Clarkson 33 27 6 5
Lauri Markkanen S 32 26 7 1
Collin Sexton S 36 24 3 5
Micah Potter S 26 11 7 2
Svi Mykhailiuk S 25 11 3 3
Walker Kessler S 38 9 16 3
Johnny Juzang 14 3 1 0
Brice Sensabaugh 11 2 3 2
Isaiah Collier 14 0 1 4
Kyle Filipowski 10 0 4 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Darius Garland S 33 23 3 8
Evan Mobley S 34 22 10 4
Donovan Mitchell S 34 22 3 7
Sam Merrill S 24 20 1 4
Caris LeVert 24 11 3 1
Georges Niang 21 8 7 3
Jarrett Allen S 27 7 6 2
Ty Jerome 14 5 0 2
Jaylon Tyson 8 4 1 0
Max Strus 22 2 6 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Micah Potter · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:32 Q1
"Micah Potter makes 23-foot three point jumper (Lauri Markkanen assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Evan Mobley CLE
15%
2 Collin Sexton UTAH
14%
3 Jarrett Allen CLE
14%
4 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
13%
5 Walker Kessler UTAH
12%
6 Darius Garland CLE
12%
7 Donovan Mitchell CLE
10%
8 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
9%
9 Jordan Clarkson UTAH
0%
10 Micah Potter UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
26%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
23%
Jumper
15%
Layup
29%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Darius Garland CLE 23.0 3.4 5.9
2 Donovan Mitchell CLE 22.8 4.8 6.4
3 Evan Mobley CLE 22.1 8.7 4.0
4 Collin Sexton UTAH 19.3 3.2 4.0
5 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 18.8 6.5 2.3
6 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 17.0 3.4 4.7
7 Caris LeVert CLE 13.6 3.0 4.2
8 Walker Kessler UTAH 12.3 11.0 1.9
9 Jarrett Allen CLE 10.9 8.0 2.1
10 Georges Niang CLE 10.3 4.1 1.8
11 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 8.1 2.8 2.0
12 Ty Jerome CLE 7.9 2.3 3.1
13 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 7.6 1.9 1.5
14 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 7.3 4.3 1.7
15 Sam Merrill CLE 7.3 2.3 1.9
16 Johnny Juzang UTAH 6.8 2.6 1.3
17 Micah Potter UTAH 4.8 4.4 0.9
18 Isaiah Collier UTAH 4.8 1.9 3.2
19 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 4.4 1.5 1.7
20 Patty Mills UTAH 4.2 1.4 1.3
21 Drew Eubanks UTAH 4.0 3.7 0.9
22 JT Thor CLE 4.0 1.4 0.5
23 Jaylon Tyson CLE 3.9 2.3 1.1
24 Tristan Thompson CLE 3.5 3.0 0.7
25 Cody Williams UTAH 2.9 1.5 0.9

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.