WSH @ MIL
NBA
Fiserv Forum
·Final
101–112
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 36 | 14 | 22 | 29 | 101 |
| MIL | 36 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 112 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MIL) / 10 (WSH) games this season
WSH
away
home
MIL
11%
89%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poole S | 36 | 26 | 5 | 3 |
| Bilal Coulibaly S | 35 | 20 | 12 | 5 |
| Corey Kispert | 26 | 16 | 2 | 1 |
| Alex Sarr S | 33 | 11 | 5 | 3 |
| Bub Carrington | 32 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Kyshawn George | 23 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Jonas Valanciunas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| Malcolm Brogdon S | 24 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Justin Champagnie S | 17 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Bobby Portis ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:44 Q1
"Bobby Portis makes 12-foot two point shot (Ryan Rollins assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jordan Poole
WSH
13%
2
Bilal Coulibaly
WSH
13%
3
Bub Carrington
WSH
12%
4
Alex Sarr
WSH
12%
5
Brook Lopez
MIL
11%
6
Justin Champagnie
WSH
10%
7
Andre Jackson Jr.
MIL
10%
8
AJ Green
MIL
10%
9
Taurean Prince
MIL
9%
10
Corey Kispert
WSH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
39%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
25%
Layup
25%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Poole | WSH | 21.8 | 3.3 | 6.0 |
| 2 | Malcolm Brogdon | WSH | 15.5 | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| 3 | Alex Sarr | WSH | 13.1 | 7.4 | 1.9 |
| 4 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 12.8 | 7.4 | 2.5 |
| 5 | Bilal Coulibaly | WSH | 12.0 | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| 6 | Corey Kispert | WSH | 11.0 | 3.9 | 1.6 |
| 7 | Jonas Valanciunas | WSH | 10.9 | 7.0 | 2.2 |
| 8 | Brook Lopez | MIL | 10.8 | 4.8 | 1.6 |
| 9 | Justin Champagnie | WSH | 10.1 | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| 10 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 9.9 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Khris Middleton | MIL | 9.4 | 3.3 | 5.2 |
| 12 | Bub Carrington | WSH | 9.2 | 4.6 | 3.0 |
| 13 | AJ Green | MIL | 9.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 14 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 7.3 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 15 | Kyshawn George | WSH | 6.3 | 3.6 | 2.0 |
| 16 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 6.1 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 17 | Pat Connaughton | MIL | 5.9 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 18 | Jared Butler | WSH | 5.6 | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| 19 | Delon Wright | MIL | 5.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 20 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 4.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 21 | Marvin Bagley III | WSH | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| 22 | MarJon Beauchamp | MIL | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Liam Robbins | MIL | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Stanley Umude | MIL | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Johnny Davis | WSH | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 26 | Anthony Gill | WSH | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| 27 | Richaun Holmes | WSH | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 |
| 28 | Patrick Baldwin Jr. | WSH | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.