NBA games

PHI @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
99–126
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHI3025212399
CLE30363327126

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (PHI) games this season
PHI away
home CLE
27% 73%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Tyrese Maxey S 33 27 1 3
Paul George S 27 11 5 1
Ricky Council IV 21 11 5 0
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 12 9 0 1
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 27 9 5 0
Caleb Martin 29 8 3 3
Guerschon Yabusele 23 7 3 1
KJ Martin S 27 7 7 1
Eric Gordon 10 7 0 0
Adem Bona 12 3 3 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Darius Garland S 26 26 5 4
Evan Mobley S 30 22 13 7
Donovan Mitchell S 28 19 4 5
Georges Niang 27 13 5 2
Caris LeVert 22 12 1 3
Ty Jerome 24 11 4 4
Jaylon Tyson 14 8 3 1
Dean Wade S 25 6 4 2
Jarrett Allen S 25 6 6 2
Craig Porter Jr. 5 2 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Darius Garland · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:32 Q1
"Darius Garland makes 10-foot driving floating jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
13%
2 Evan Mobley CLE
13%
3 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
12%
4 Jarrett Allen CLE
12%
5 Donovan Mitchell CLE
11%
6 Paul George PHI
11%
7 Darius Garland CLE
10%
8 KJ Martin PHI
9%
9 Dean Wade CLE
7%
10 Andre Drummond PHI
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
30%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
7%
Jumper
30%
Layup
30%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 24.6 4.3 6.3
2 Donovan Mitchell CLE 22.8 4.9 6.1
3 Darius Garland CLE 21.0 3.2 6.0
4 Evan Mobley CLE 19.8 8.9 3.4
5 Paul George PHI 17.3 5.6 5.4
6 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 14.5 6.7 2.1
7 Caris LeVert CLE 12.1 3.1 3.6
8 Jarrett Allen CLE 11.3 8.7 1.9
9 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 10.2 5.4 1.8
10 KJ Martin PHI 9.4 3.7 1.2
11 Georges Niang CLE 9.3 4.5 1.6
12 Ty Jerome CLE 8.9 2.4 3.2
13 Sam Merrill CLE 7.8 2.3 1.7
14 Ricky Council IV PHI 7.5 3.2 1.0
15 Andre Drummond PHI 6.2 6.9 0.9
16 Dean Wade CLE 6.1 4.5 1.2
17 Caleb Martin PHI 5.7 3.0 1.3
18 Eric Gordon PHI 4.8 1.8 1.0
19 Kyle Lowry PHI 4.4 2.1 1.6
20 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 4.3 1.5 1.6
21 Jeff Dowtin Jr. PHI 3.9 1.6 1.3
22 Reggie Jackson PHI 3.5 1.1 1.6
23 Tristan Thompson CLE 3.3 3.0 0.6
24 Jaylon Tyson CLE 3.2 2.1 0.9
25 Adem Bona PHI 1.4 1.8 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.