NBA games

UTAH @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
105–94
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH19312530105
BKN2421183194

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home BKN
25% 75%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 36 21 7 0
Svi Mykhailiuk S 20 18 0 1
Collin Sexton S 33 18 2 5
Jordan Clarkson 31 16 3 8
John Collins S 35 13 11 2
Brice Sensabaugh 18 8 4 2
Walker Kessler S 21 5 7 2
Johnny Juzang 12 3 2 1
Micah Potter 9 3 2 2
Isaiah Collier 16 0 4 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cameron Johnson S 38 18 3 5
Ben Simmons S 29 15 6 10
Shake Milton 26 11 2 2
Noah Clowney S 29 10 6 1
Nic Claxton S 26 10 5 0
Jalen Wilson 23 9 7 2
Keon Johnson S 29 8 8 1
Tyrese Martin 22 7 4 3
Day'Ron Sharpe 19 6 9 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Svi Mykhailiuk · Layup (2 pts) · 11:43 Q1
"Svi Mykhailiuk makes two point shot (Walker Kessler assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Collin Sexton UTAH
13%
2 John Collins UTAH
12%
3 Nic Claxton BKN
10%
4 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
10%
5 Cameron Johnson BKN
10%
6 Walker Kessler UTAH
10%
7 Ben Simmons BKN
10%
8 Keon Johnson BKN
9%
9 Ziaire Williams BKN
8%
10 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
26%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
29%
Layup
26%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 20.5 6.2 2.5
2 Cameron Johnson BKN 20.5 4.8 4.1
3 Collin Sexton UTAH 20.3 3.3 4.1
4 John Collins UTAH 19.4 7.7 2.8
5 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 17.9 3.5 4.6
6 Walker Kessler UTAH 13.3 10.9 2.0
7 Shake Milton BKN 11.8 3.0 2.9
8 Nic Claxton BKN 11.6 7.1 1.9
9 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 11.6 3.6 1.9
10 Jalen Wilson BKN 9.8 3.0 2.0
11 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 9.0 2.7 2.1
12 Keon Johnson BKN 8.8 3.1 1.7
13 Noah Clowney BKN 8.6 3.5 1.3
14 Ziaire Williams BKN 8.2 3.2 1.4
15 Ben Simmons BKN 8.0 4.8 6.3
16 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 7.7 4.3 1.3
17 Johnny Juzang UTAH 7.3 2.7 1.4
18 Tyrese Martin BKN 7.0 2.6 1.4
19 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 5.7 1.5 1.2
20 Micah Potter UTAH 5.0 4.9 1.0
21 Drew Eubanks UTAH 4.5 3.8 1.1
22 Patty Mills UTAH 4.5 1.5 1.4
23 Isaiah Collier UTAH 4.2 1.3 3.3
24 Reece Beekman BKN 2.9 1.0 1.0

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.