NBA games

CHA @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
98–108
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CHA2323252798
PHI41172723108

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (CHA) games this season
CHA away
home PHI
9% 91%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Vasilije Micic S 33 20 1 4
Miles Bridges S 29 15 7 1
DaQuan Jeffries 30 12 5 1
Isaiah Wong 16 11 1 4
Cody Martin S 20 11 5 3
Nick Richards S 30 10 6 3
Tidjane Salaun 24 8 8 5
Moussa Diabate 18 7 7 0
Josh Green S 33 4 3 0
Seth Curry 9 0 1 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Joel Embiid S 31 34 5 9
Tyrese Maxey S 38 23 4 6
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 39 22 5 2
Ricky Council IV 13 11 2 0
Guerschon Yabusele 14 9 5 2
Paul George S 39 5 10 8
KJ Martin S 28 2 3 0
Eric Gordon 16 2 2 2
Kyle Lowry 13 0 1 1
Andre Drummond 10 0 2 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Tyrese Maxey · 3PT (3 pts) · 10:44 Q1
"Tyrese Maxey makes 27-foot running pullup jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
17%
2 Joel Embiid PHI
14%
3 Miles Bridges CHA
11%
4 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
9%
5 Paul George PHI
9%
6 Andre Drummond PHI
9%
7 KJ Martin PHI
9%
8 Josh Green CHA
8%
9 Grant Williams CHA
7%
10 Seth Curry CHA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
31%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
17%
Jumper
27%
Layup
22%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 25.3 4.2 6.3
2 Joel Embiid PHI 23.0 8.4 4.2
3 Paul George PHI 19.7 5.5 5.4
4 Miles Bridges CHA 18.5 6.4 3.8
5 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 13.8 7.0 2.3
6 Nick Richards CHA 11.7 8.9 1.6
7 Grant Williams CHA 10.9 5.2 1.9
8 Vasilije Micic CHA 10.8 3.1 5.4
9 Cody Martin CHA 10.4 4.7 2.5
10 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 10.3 5.5 1.8
11 Josh Green CHA 9.8 2.9 1.9
12 KJ Martin PHI 9.3 3.6 1.2
13 Tidjane Salaun CHA 6.8 4.0 1.2
14 Isaiah Wong CHA 6.7 2.8 1.7
15 Ricky Council IV PHI 6.5 2.7 0.9
16 Andre Drummond PHI 6.2 7.0 0.9
17 DaQuan Jeffries CHA 5.3 2.2 0.9
18 Moussa Diabate CHA 5.1 6.1 1.2
19 Seth Curry CHA 4.9 1.7 0.7
20 Kyle Lowry PHI 4.6 1.9 1.9
21 Jeff Dowtin Jr. PHI 4.0 1.5 1.4
22 Eric Gordon PHI 3.7 1.2 0.9
23 Reggie Jackson PHI 3.7 1.0 1.7
24 Taj Gibson CHA 2.0 2.3 0.4
25 Adem Bona PHI 1.5 1.7 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.