NBA games

CHA @ NY

NBA Madison Square Garden ·Final
101–125
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CHA32301623101
NY30353822125

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NY) / 10 (CHA) games this season
CHA away
home NY
11% 89%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Brandon Miller S 30 26 6 3
Seth Curry 18 18 3 0
Vasilije Micic S 35 14 1 12
DaQuan Jeffries 16 8 1 1
Nick Smith Jr. 19 6 3 1
Mark Williams 11 6 5 1
Nick Richards S 24 6 8 3
Josh Green S 26 5 4 2
Cody Martin 26 4 3 1
Moussa Diabate 16 4 3 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Karl-Anthony Towns S 39 27 16 2
OG Anunoby S 40 25 6 2
Jalen Brunson S 27 24 1 5
Mikal Bridges S 47 19 3 7
Josh Hart S 38 18 10 6
Miles McBride 28 10 1 6
Precious Achiuwa 12 2 4 1
Jacob Toppin 2 0 0 0
Jericho Sims 3 0 1 0
Ariel Hukporti 1 0 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Josh Hart · Layup (2 pts) · 11:00 Q1
"Josh Hart makes two point shot (Jalen Brunson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
14%
2 OG Anunoby NY
12%
3 Mikal Bridges NY
11%
4 Jalen Brunson NY
11%
5 Brandon Miller CHA
11%
6 Nick Richards CHA
10%
7 Josh Hart NY
10%
8 Josh Green CHA
7%
9 Tidjane Salaun CHA
7%
10 Vasilije Micic CHA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
19%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
23%
Jumper
28%
Layup
26%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 25.4 3.5 8.5
2 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 24.7 12.8 4.1
3 Brandon Miller CHA 22.6 5.9 3.9
4 Mikal Bridges NY 17.8 3.7 3.1
5 OG Anunoby NY 17.5 5.0 1.9
6 Josh Hart NY 15.6 7.5 5.6
7 Miles McBride NY 11.5 3.2 2.6
8 Nick Richards CHA 11.1 8.7 1.4
9 Precious Achiuwa NY 10.2 6.8 1.6
10 Josh Green CHA 9.4 3.2 1.8
11 Cameron Payne NY 8.9 2.4 3.1
12 Cody Martin CHA 8.7 4.9 2.6
13 Tidjane Salaun CHA 6.9 3.9 1.2
14 Vasilije Micic CHA 6.2 2.6 2.3
15 KJ Simpson CHA 5.6 2.3 2.3
16 Moussa Diabate CHA 5.3 8.0 1.1
17 Jericho Sims NY 3.8 4.3 0.9
18 Seth Curry CHA 3.6 1.2 0.5
19 Nick Smith Jr. CHA 3.6 1.2 0.8
20 Tyler Kolek NY 3.6 1.3 1.1
21 Taj Gibson CHA 2.8 2.9 0.4
22 Matt Ryan NY 2.7 0.9 0.6
23 Ariel Hukporti NY 2.5 2.3 0.7
24 Jacob Toppin NY 1.5 0.8 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.