MIN @ LAC
NBA
Intuit Dome
·Final
108–80
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 33 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 108 |
| LAC | 14 | 18 | 18 | 30 | 80 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (MIN) games this season
MIN
away
home
LAC
30%
70%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle S | 26 | 20 | 4 | 4 |
| Anthony Edwards S | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 |
| Josh Minott | 21 | 13 | 8 | 3 |
| Mike Conley S | 20 | 11 | 3 | 2 |
| Jaden McDaniels S | 24 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Luka Garza | 8 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| Rudy Gobert S | 29 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 22 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| Naz Reid | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| PJ Dozier | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Julius Randle ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:16 Q1
"Julius Randle makes 15-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Anthony Edwards
MIN
16%
2
Ivica Zubac
LAC
15%
3
Julius Randle
MIN
12%
4
James Harden
LAC
12%
5
Rudy Gobert
MIN
11%
6
Jaden McDaniels
MIN
10%
7
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
9%
8
Mike Conley
MIN
8%
9
Kris Dunn
LAC
7%
10
Naz Reid
MIN
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
42%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
5%
Jumper
27%
Layup
23%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Harden | LAC | 24.4 | 5.7 | 8.9 |
| 2 | Anthony Edwards | MIN | 24.1 | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| 3 | Julius Randle | MIN | 22.3 | 6.6 | 3.8 |
| 4 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 15.5 | 11.6 | 2.8 |
| 5 | Naz Reid | MIN | 12.7 | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| 6 | Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 10.9 | 4.3 | 2.2 |
| 7 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | 10.9 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| 8 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 10.6 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Rudy Gobert | MIN | 10.5 | 10.5 | 1.7 |
| 10 | Mike Conley | MIN | 9.8 | 2.9 | 4.5 |
| 11 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 9.7 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| 12 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 8.2 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 13 | Luka Garza | MIN | 7.8 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 14 | Donte DiVincenzo | MIN | 7.7 | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 15 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 6.8 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
| 16 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 5.5 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 17 | Mo Bamba | LAC | 5.5 | 4.1 | 0.8 |
| 18 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 5.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 19 | Daishen Nix | MIN | 4.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| 20 | Terrence Shannon Jr. | MIN | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| 21 | Josh Minott | MIN | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Cam Christie | LAC | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 23 | PJ Dozier | MIN | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Kai Jones | LAC | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.