NO @ NY
NBA
Madison Square Garden
·Final
85–118
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 10 | 18 | 28 | 29 | 85 |
| NY | 33 | 24 | 36 | 25 | 118 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NY) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
NY
5%
95%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum S | 25 | 13 | 3 | 3 |
| Brandon Boston | 19 | 13 | 3 | 2 |
| Yves Missi S | 20 | 11 | 8 | 1 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 29 | 11 | 4 | 2 |
| Jamal Cain | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| Dejounte Murray S | 30 | 10 | 8 | 5 |
| Elfrid Payton | 17 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Javonte Green S | 23 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Daniel Theis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Mikal Bridges ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 10:54 Q1
"Mikal Bridges makes 11-foot two point shot (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jalen Brunson
NY
13%
2
OG Anunoby
NY
11%
3
Mikal Bridges
NY
11%
4
Karl-Anthony Towns
NY
11%
5
Josh Hart
NY
10%
6
Yves Missi
NO
10%
7
Dejounte Murray
NO
9%
8
Trey Murphy III
NO
9%
9
CJ McCollum
NO
9%
10
Javonte Green
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
48%
Jumper
18%
Layup
15%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalen Brunson | NY | 26.5 | 3.6 | 8.8 |
| 2 | Karl-Anthony Towns | NY | 26.4 | 11.9 | 4.4 |
| 3 | OG Anunoby | NY | 20.1 | 5.9 | 2.0 |
| 4 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 17.7 | 5.5 | 2.3 |
| 5 | CJ McCollum | NO | 17.3 | 4.1 | 3.2 |
| 6 | Mikal Bridges | NY | 16.5 | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| 7 | Josh Hart | NY | 15.5 | 7.7 | 6.0 |
| 8 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 14.6 | 5.2 | 5.7 |
| 9 | Brandon Boston | NO | 11.7 | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| 10 | Yves Missi | NO | 10.4 | 8.4 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 10.2 | 6.4 | 1.6 |
| 12 | Miles McBride | NY | 10.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| 13 | Javonte Green | NO | 9.1 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Cameron Payne | NY | 9.0 | 2.5 | 3.1 |
| 15 | Elfrid Payton | NO | 7.7 | 4.3 | 6.4 |
| 16 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 17 | Jamal Cain | NO | 4.4 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| 18 | Daniel Theis | NO | 4.4 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| 19 | Trey Jemison III | NO | 3.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Jericho Sims | NY | 3.4 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Tyler Kolek | NY | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Ariel Hukporti | NY | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| 23 | Matt Ryan | NY | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 24 | Jacob Toppin | NY | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 25 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.