NBA games

DAL @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
106–94
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
DAL40163020106
UTAH2227271894

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (DAL) games this season
DAL away
home UTAH
59% 41%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kyrie Irving S 36 30 7 9
Quentin Grimes S 29 24 3 0
P.J. Washington S 35 16 11 1
Daniel Gafford 24 14 11 3
Spencer Dinwiddie 31 7 2 10
Dereck Lively II S 23 6 7 4
Jaden Hardy 16 4 2 2
Naji Marshall S 13 3 1 1
Jazian Gortman 1 2 0 0
Kessler Edwards 1 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 34 19 5 1
Walker Kessler S 30 18 10 1
John Collins S 37 16 9 2
Brice Sensabaugh 23 13 6 1
Collin Sexton S 30 13 4 2
Micah Potter 13 6 3 0
Keyonte George S 33 5 6 8
Drew Eubanks 14 2 5 2
Johnny Juzang 15 2 5 0
Isaiah Collier 12 0 0 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Kyrie Irving · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:27 Q1
"Kyrie Irving makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 John Collins UTAH
11%
2 Collin Sexton UTAH
11%
3 Kyrie Irving DAL
11%
4 Walker Kessler UTAH
10%
5 Naji Marshall DAL
9%
6 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
9%
7 Dereck Lively II DAL
8%
8 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
8%
9 Keyonte George UTAH
8%
10 P.J. Washington DAL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
12%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
32%
Jumper
16%
Layup
33%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Kyrie Irving DAL 25.6 4.8 6.4
2 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 20.3 5.9 2.7
3 John Collins UTAH 19.7 9.8 3.0
4 Collin Sexton UTAH 19.4 3.2 3.8
5 Keyonte George UTAH 17.3 3.1 5.3
6 Naji Marshall DAL 17.0 3.9 2.4
7 P.J. Washington DAL 13.9 9.0 2.6
8 Daniel Gafford DAL 12.4 7.5 1.3
9 Walker Kessler UTAH 10.6 9.7 1.5
10 Quentin Grimes DAL 10.1 4.6 2.3
11 Dereck Lively II DAL 8.8 7.0 1.8
12 Jaden Hardy DAL 8.3 2.2 2.0
13 Spencer Dinwiddie DAL 8.0 2.1 3.0
14 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 7.7 1.4 1.5
15 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 7.3 1.9 1.0
16 Isaiah Collier UTAH 6.0 2.2 3.6
17 Jazian Gortman DAL 5.2 1.1 1.1
18 Johnny Juzang UTAH 5.0 2.3 1.1
19 Drew Eubanks UTAH 4.7 3.8 1.1
20 Maxi Kleber DAL 3.4 2.7 0.9
21 Patty Mills UTAH 3.1 0.9 1.0
22 Dwight Powell DAL 2.5 2.6 0.9
23 Olivier-Maxence Prosper DAL 2.0 1.3 0.4
24 Kessler Edwards DAL 1.7 0.6 0.3
25 Markieff Morris DAL 1.7 1.2 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.