TOR @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
119–93
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 21 | 35 | 31 | 32 | 119 |
| NO | 20 | 26 | 17 | 30 | 93 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
NO
77%
23%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ochai Agbaji S | 28 | 24 | 6 | 2 |
| Jamison Battle | 22 | 24 | 1 | 3 |
| RJ Barrett S | 33 | 22 | 8 | 11 |
| Scottie Barnes S | 32 | 17 | 12 | 7 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter S | 28 | 14 | 11 | 5 |
| Jamal Shead | 15 | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| Bruno Fernando | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Jakob Poeltl S | 31 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| Garrett Temple | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Ja'Kobe Walter ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:47 Q1
"Ja'Kobe Walter makes three point jumper (RJ Barrett assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
RJ Barrett
TOR
17%
2
Jakob Poeltl
TOR
12%
3
Trey Murphy III
NO
11%
4
Dejounte Murray
NO
10%
5
Scottie Barnes
TOR
9%
6
Elfrid Payton
NO
8%
7
CJ McCollum
NO
7%
8
Daniel Theis
NO
7%
9
Javonte Green
NO
6%
10
Davion Mitchell
TOR
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
17%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
20%
Layup
49%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RJ Barrett | TOR | 23.2 | 6.3 | 5.6 |
| 2 | Scottie Barnes | TOR | 22.4 | 7.0 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 18.7 | 5.0 | 2.8 |
| 4 | Jakob Poeltl | TOR | 17.5 | 11.8 | 2.7 |
| 5 | CJ McCollum | NO | 16.6 | 4.2 | 3.1 |
| 6 | Brandon Boston | NO | 14.8 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| 7 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 13.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 8 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 12.5 | 5.3 | 5.7 |
| 9 | Chris Boucher | TOR | 11.6 | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| 10 | Ochai Agbaji | TOR | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 |
| 11 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 11.0 | 6.3 | 1.6 |
| 12 | Yves Missi | NO | 10.1 | 7.9 | 1.5 |
| 13 | Elfrid Payton | NO | 10.0 | 5.1 | 7.2 |
| 14 | Javonte Green | NO | 9.3 | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| 15 | Davion Mitchell | TOR | 8.7 | 2.9 | 5.2 |
| 16 | Jamison Battle | TOR | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 17 | Jonathan Mogbo | TOR | 4.8 | 3.7 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Daniel Theis | NO | 4.6 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Jamal Shead | TOR | 4.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| 20 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 21 | Bruno Fernando | TOR | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 22 | Trey Jemison III | NO | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Ja'Kobe Walter | TOR | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Garrett Temple | TOR | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.