NBA games

LAC @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
125–99
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
LAC39233528125
PHI2723222799

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC away
home PHI
72% 28%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
James Harden S 27 23 2 8
Derrick Jones Jr. S 25 18 3 2
Ivica Zubac S 25 16 12 4
Terance Mann 22 13 1 1
Kevin Porter Jr. 24 11 5 5
Kris Dunn S 23 9 3 1
Mo Bamba 17 7 4 0
Amir Coffey S 25 7 3 2
Jordan Miller 23 7 4 3
Kobe Brown 13 6 4 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jared McCain S 28 18 0 4
Tyrese Maxey S 30 17 4 4
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 31 12 5 3
Ricky Council IV 19 9 0 1
Reggie Jackson 13 7 1 4
Eric Gordon 16 7 0 1
Guerschon Yabusele S 27 6 6 0
Andre Drummond 14 6 5 1
Lester Quinones 9 6 1 0
KJ Martin 26 4 4 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Kelly Oubre Jr. · Layup (2 pts) · 11:53 Q1
"Kelly Oubre Jr. makes 1-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
22%
2 Ivica Zubac LAC
12%
3 James Harden LAC
11%
4 Caleb Martin PHI
8%
5 Derrick Jones Jr. LAC
8%
6 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
8%
7 Amir Coffey LAC
8%
8 Guerschon Yabusele PHI
7%
9 Kris Dunn LAC
7%
10 Jared McCain PHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
14%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
17%
Jumper
26%
Layup
39%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 23.2 3.6 3.9
2 James Harden LAC 22.1 6.6 8.2
3 Jared McCain PHI 20.5 2.9 3.7
4 Ivica Zubac LAC 13.7 11.4 2.4
5 Amir Coffey LAC 11.2 2.9 1.5
6 Caleb Martin PHI 11.0 4.0 2.8
7 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 10.8 4.8 1.6
8 Derrick Jones Jr. LAC 10.2 3.6 1.2
9 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 9.7 5.5 1.8
10 Kevin Porter Jr. LAC 9.4 3.0 2.8
11 Kris Dunn LAC 8.4 3.3 3.2
12 Andre Drummond PHI 8.2 6.7 1.1
13 Jordan Miller LAC 7.4 2.2 1.1
14 Terance Mann LAC 6.0 3.3 1.6
15 Mo Bamba LAC 5.8 5.2 1.0
16 Eric Gordon PHI 5.3 1.6 1.4
17 Nicolas Batum LAC 5.0 2.5 0.7
18 KJ Martin PHI 4.8 2.2 0.6
19 Reggie Jackson PHI 4.7 1.4 1.6
20 Justin Edwards PHI 4.5 1.9 0.6
21 Kobe Brown LAC 4.3 3.3 1.1
22 Bones Hyland LAC 4.0 1.7 0.5
23 Ricky Council IV PHI 2.9 1.4 0.8
24 Lester Quinones PHI 2.8 1.3 0.4
25 Adem Bona PHI 1.3 1.2 0.2

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.