GS @ SA
NBA
Frost Bank Center
·Final
94–104
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 29 | 21 | 31 | 13 | 94 |
| SA | 17 | 21 | 33 | 33 | 104 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SA) / 10 (GS) games this season
GS
away
home
SA
52%
48%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins S | 33 | 20 | 5 | 3 |
| Stephen Curry S | 32 | 14 | 7 | 5 |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis S | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 |
| Lindy Waters III S | 25 | 11 | 4 | 1 |
| Buddy Hield | 24 | 11 | 1 | 4 |
| Kevon Looney | 13 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| Kyle Anderson | 13 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Moses Moody | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Gary Payton II | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Draymond Green S | 27 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Harrison Barnes ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:39 Q1
"Harrison Barnes makes 1-foot layup (Victor Wembanyama assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Stephen Curry
GS
12%
2
Victor Wembanyama
SA
11%
3
Andrew Wiggins
GS
11%
4
Trayce Jackson-Davis
GS
10%
5
Stephon Castle
SA
10%
6
Harrison Barnes
SA
8%
7
Zach Collins
SA
8%
8
Draymond Green
GS
7%
9
Chris Paul
SA
7%
10
Julian Champagnie
SA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
21%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
6%
Jumper
41%
Layup
29%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Wembanyama | SA | 28.9 | 10.8 | 4.8 |
| 2 | Stephen Curry | GS | 25.0 | 5.3 | 6.6 |
| 3 | Andrew Wiggins | GS | 16.1 | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| 4 | Stephon Castle | SA | 14.8 | 3.5 | 4.7 |
| 5 | Jonathan Kuminga | GS | 14.3 | 4.8 | 2.0 |
| 6 | Buddy Hield | GS | 12.7 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| 7 | Draymond Green | GS | 12.6 | 6.7 | 5.8 |
| 8 | Julian Champagnie | SA | 12.3 | 4.7 | 2.2 |
| 9 | Chris Paul | SA | 12.2 | 3.8 | 8.6 |
| 10 | Harrison Barnes | SA | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.9 |
| 11 | Zach Collins | SA | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.2 |
| 12 | Brandin Podziemski | GS | 8.3 | 4.2 | 3.0 |
| 13 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 7.7 | 5.7 | 1.7 |
| 14 | Tre Jones | SA | 6.9 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| 15 | Moses Moody | GS | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 16 | Malaki Branham | SA | 6.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 17 | Kyle Anderson | GS | 6.2 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| 18 | Lindy Waters III | GS | 6.1 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Kevon Looney | GS | 5.3 | 7.2 | 1.3 |
| 20 | Charles Bassey | SA | 5.3 | 4.7 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Gary Payton II | GS | 4.7 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Sandro Mamukelashvili | SA | 4.5 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Blake Wesley | SA | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 24 | Sidy Cissoko | SA | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Gui Santos | GS | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.