NBA games

NY @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
106–121
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY28232728106
UTAH28382134121

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home UTAH
57% 43%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
OG Anunoby S 36 27 3 0
Jalen Brunson S 37 23 2 8
Josh Hart S 41 17 6 6
Karl-Anthony Towns S 39 16 16 5
Cameron Payne 31 11 6 5
Mikal Bridges S 33 7 3 0
Tyler Kolek 11 3 2 1
Jericho Sims 9 2 2 0
Pacome Dadiet 3 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 33 34 9 2
Collin Sexton S 38 25 1 5
John Collins S 33 20 13 1
Johnny Juzang 17 12 3 2
Keyonte George S 27 11 4 9
Walker Kessler S 35 11 10 2
Jordan Clarkson 25 4 4 6
Isaiah Collier 11 2 0 2
Drew Eubanks 13 2 6 1
Cody Williams 9 0 2 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jalen Brunson · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:37 Q1
"Jalen Brunson makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Brunson NY
16%
2 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
11%
3 OG Anunoby NY
10%
4 Collin Sexton UTAH
10%
5 John Collins UTAH
10%
6 Mikal Bridges NY
9%
7 Josh Hart NY
9%
8 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
9%
9 Walker Kessler UTAH
8%
10 Keyonte George UTAH
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
56%
Layup
12%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 27.3 11.8 4.3
2 Jalen Brunson NY 26.7 3.4 8.5
3 John Collins UTAH 20.3 8.6 3.5
4 OG Anunoby NY 19.3 6.0 2.5
5 Collin Sexton UTAH 18.8 3.2 4.0
6 Mikal Bridges NY 18.4 4.0 3.8
7 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 17.7 5.6 2.6
8 Keyonte George UTAH 17.5 2.9 5.5
9 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 17.0 3.9 3.8
10 Josh Hart NY 16.2 7.7 6.5
11 Walker Kessler UTAH 8.3 9.0 1.2
12 Cameron Payne NY 8.0 1.8 3.2
13 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 6.7 1.4 1.2
14 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 6.2 2.2 0.9
15 Johnny Juzang UTAH 6.0 2.0 1.0
16 Drew Eubanks UTAH 5.7 4.6 1.1
17 Isaiah Collier UTAH 5.6 2.2 3.6
18 Pacome Dadiet NY 4.8 2.1 0.8
19 Cody Williams UTAH 4.8 2.2 1.3
20 Tyler Kolek NY 4.2 1.3 1.0
21 Jericho Sims NY 4.0 4.0 1.0
22 Patty Mills UTAH 3.1 0.8 1.0
23 Jacob Toppin NY 2.5 1.2 0.7
24 Ariel Hukporti NY 2.4 2.5 0.6
25 Matt Ryan NY 2.0 0.6 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.