NO @ CLE
NBA
Rocket Arena
·Final
100–128
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 24 | 31 | 18 | 27 | 100 |
| CLE | 29 | 40 | 36 | 23 | 128 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
CLE
5%
95%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reeves | 40 | 34 | 5 | 3 |
| Brandon Boston S | 34 | 14 | 3 | 5 |
| Yves Missi S | 19 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| Elfrid Payton S | 22 | 11 | 5 | 8 |
| Jamal Cain | 31 | 9 | 3 | 2 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl S | 35 | 9 | 7 | 4 |
| Javonte Green S | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 18 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Trey Jemison III | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Evan Mobley ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"Evan Mobley makes 1-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Evan Mobley
CLE
15%
2
Jarrett Allen
CLE
13%
3
Trey Murphy III
NO
11%
4
Donovan Mitchell
CLE
11%
5
Brandon Boston
NO
10%
6
Yves Missi
NO
9%
7
Darius Garland
CLE
9%
8
CJ McCollum
NO
9%
9
Sam Merrill
CLE
7%
10
Javonte Green
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
11%
Dunk
9%
Free Throw
27%
Jumper
24%
Layup
29%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 24.0 | 5.7 | 4.0 |
| 2 | Darius Garland | CLE | 23.8 | 3.4 | 8.3 |
| 3 | Evan Mobley | CLE | 20.0 | 9.7 | 3.1 |
| 4 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 16.9 | 5.0 | 2.0 |
| 5 | Brandon Boston | NO | 15.9 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| 6 | CJ McCollum | NO | 14.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 |
| 7 | Jarrett Allen | CLE | 13.9 | 10.6 | 2.1 |
| 8 | Ty Jerome | CLE | 10.1 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| 9 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 9.3 | 5.5 | 1.4 |
| 10 | Georges Niang | CLE | 9.1 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| 11 | Yves Missi | NO | 8.3 | 7.5 | 1.7 |
| 12 | Javonte Green | NO | 7.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| 13 | Sam Merrill | CLE | 7.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| 14 | Jamal Cain | NO | 5.3 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 15 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 16 | JT Thor | CLE | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 17 | Craig Porter Jr. | CLE | 3.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Jaylon Tyson | CLE | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 19 | Trey Jemison III | NO | 3.4 | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Daniel Theis | NO | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Luke Travers | CLE | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Tristan Thompson | CLE | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.