UTAH @ LAC
NBA
Intuit Dome
·Final
105–116
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 25 | 20 | 29 | 31 | 105 |
| LAC | 35 | 31 | 30 | 20 | 116 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH
away
home
LAC
33%
67%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Clarkson | 30 | 21 | 4 | 2 |
| Lauri Markkanen S | 39 | 18 | 10 | 1 |
| John Collins S | 31 | 13 | 8 | 2 |
| Kyle Filipowski S | 24 | 13 | 2 | 4 |
| Collin Sexton S | 20 | 11 | 4 | 3 |
| Keyonte George S | 34 | 9 | 5 | 3 |
| Drew Eubanks | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Cody Williams | 20 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| Isaiah Collier | 26 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Ivica Zubac ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:29 Q1
"Ivica Zubac makes 5-foot two point shot (James Harden assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
James Harden
LAC
12%
2
Lauri Markkanen
UTAH
11%
3
John Collins
UTAH
11%
4
Ivica Zubac
LAC
11%
5
Collin Sexton
UTAH
10%
6
Norman Powell
LAC
10%
7
Keyonte George
UTAH
9%
8
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
9%
9
Kris Dunn
LAC
8%
10
Kyle Filipowski
UTAH
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
37%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
19%
Layup
26%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norman Powell | LAC | 23.5 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| 2 | James Harden | LAC | 22.8 | 7.6 | 8.4 |
| 3 | John Collins | UTAH | 19.9 | 8.1 | 3.3 |
| 4 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 17.5 | 3.2 | 5.7 |
| 5 | Collin Sexton | UTAH | 17.1 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| 6 | Jordan Clarkson | UTAH | 16.5 | 4.0 | 4.1 |
| 7 | Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 15.9 | 5.6 | 2.6 |
| 8 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 14.0 | 11.5 | 1.8 |
| 9 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 10.6 | 3.7 | 1.6 |
| 10 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 10.6 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 11 | Kevin Porter Jr. | LAC | 9.7 | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| 12 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 8.8 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| 13 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 8.3 | 4.6 | 1.7 |
| 14 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 8.1 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Terance Mann | LAC | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 6.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 18 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 5.6 | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 5.5 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 20 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 5.4 | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 21 | Johnny Juzang | UTAH | 5.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Drew Eubanks | UTAH | 4.9 | 4.0 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 25 | Kai Jones | LAC | 3.4 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Patty Mills | UTAH | 3.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.