NBA games

UTAH @ SAC

NBA Golden 1 Center ·Final
117–121
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH31323123117
SAC35292631121

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SAC) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home SAC
27% 73%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 35 25 5 1
Keyonte George S 31 19 2 2
Collin Sexton S 29 18 2 2
Jordan Clarkson 30 17 3 5
John Collins S 32 16 8 2
Kyle Filipowski S 28 9 7 2
Isaiah Collier 19 9 2 1
Drew Eubanks 16 4 4 0
Johnny Juzang 8 0 0 0
Cody Williams 11 0 0 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
De'Aaron Fox S 36 49 3 9
Kevin Huerter S 34 18 5 2
Trey Lyles S 35 17 3 1
Alex Len 13 8 5 2
Orlando Robinson 12 6 3 0
Doug McDermott S 19 6 1 0
Jordan McLaughlin 22 6 3 5
Isaac Jones 12 6 2 0
Keegan Murray S 39 5 6 2
Mason Jones 8 0 4 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
De'Aaron Fox · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:29 Q1
"De'Aaron Fox makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 De'Aaron Fox SAC
15%
2 John Collins UTAH
13%
3 Keegan Murray SAC
12%
4 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
12%
5 Collin Sexton UTAH
11%
6 Keyonte George UTAH
10%
7 Kevin Huerter SAC
10%
8 Alex Len SAC
9%
9 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
8%
10 Jordan Clarkson UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
4%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
70%
Jumper
18%
Layup
6%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 De'Aaron Fox SAC 28.4 5.1 5.6
2 John Collins UTAH 19.8 7.9 3.5
3 Collin Sexton UTAH 17.1 3.3 3.5
4 Keyonte George UTAH 16.7 3.0 6.1
5 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 16.2 5.3 2.6
6 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 14.7 3.8 3.6
7 Keegan Murray SAC 14.5 8.0 2.0
8 Kevin Huerter SAC 12.7 4.0 2.9
9 Keon Ellis SAC 7.5 3.0 1.4
10 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 6.9 3.6 1.6
11 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 6.7 1.4 1.2
12 Trey Lyles SAC 6.5 4.1 1.1
13 Cody Williams UTAH 5.8 2.5 1.6
14 Johnny Juzang UTAH 5.7 1.8 1.0
15 Drew Eubanks UTAH 5.3 3.8 0.9
16 Isaiah Collier UTAH 5.0 1.5 2.9
17 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 4.8 1.5 0.7
18 Doug McDermott SAC 4.7 1.7 0.7
19 Jordan McLaughlin SAC 3.9 1.5 0.9
20 Alex Len SAC 3.3 2.7 0.9
21 Mason Jones SAC 3.3 1.8 1.2
22 Isaac Jones SAC 3.2 1.8 0.9
23 Patty Mills UTAH 3.1 0.9 0.9
24 Colby Jones SAC 2.7 1.0 0.9

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.