BKN @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
107–105
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKN | 26 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 107 |
| NO | 22 | 34 | 29 | 20 | 105 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN
away
home
NO
55%
45%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Thomas S | 33 | 17 | 7 | 2 |
| Cameron Johnson S | 31 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| Noah Clowney | 20 | 15 | 7 | 1 |
| Dennis Schroder S | 32 | 14 | 3 | 2 |
| Nic Claxton S | 32 | 13 | 9 | 3 |
| Ziaire Williams S | 28 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| Jalen Wilson | 23 | 10 | 1 | 2 |
| Ben Simmons | 22 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| Keon Johnson | 18 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Trey Murphy III ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 9:27 Q1
"Trey Murphy III makes dunk (Brandon Boston Jr. assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Cam Thomas
BKN
17%
2
Brandon Ingram
NO
15%
3
Cameron Johnson
BKN
11%
4
Nic Claxton
BKN
10%
5
Dennis Schroder
BKN
10%
6
Yves Missi
NO
10%
7
Jose Alvarado
NO
9%
8
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
NO
9%
9
Brandon Boston
NO
9%
10
Ziaire Williams
BKN
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
18%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
9%
Jumper
51%
Layup
20%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cam Thomas | BKN | 25.5 | 3.4 | 4.0 |
| 2 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 24.0 | 6.0 | 5.1 |
| 3 | Dennis Schroder | BKN | 22.4 | 3.3 | 6.8 |
| 4 | Cameron Johnson | BKN | 17.7 | 4.5 | 3.0 |
| 5 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 12.1 | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| 6 | Nic Claxton | BKN | 10.2 | 7.9 | 2.4 |
| 7 | Brandon Boston | NO | 8.9 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Ziaire Williams | BKN | 8.3 | 3.8 | 1.4 |
| 9 | Jalen Wilson | BKN | 8.3 | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| 10 | Ben Simmons | BKN | 7.8 | 5.6 | 5.5 |
| 11 | Noah Clowney | BKN | 6.7 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 12 | Yves Missi | NO | 5.8 | 5.3 | 1.3 |
| 13 | Javonte Green | NO | 5.7 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| 14 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 5.4 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| 15 | Keon Johnson | BKN | 5.1 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Jaylen Nowell | NO | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 17 | Jamal Cain | NO | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| 18 | Shake Milton | BKN | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 19 | Daniel Theis | NO | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| 20 | Tyrese Martin | BKN | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 21 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 22 | Trey Jemison III | NO | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| 23 | Yongxi Cui | BKN | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.