TOR @ LAC
NBA
Intuit Dome
·Final
103–105
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 22 | 25 | 23 | 33 | 103 |
| LAC | 28 | 24 | 29 | 24 | 105 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
LAC
24%
76%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ochai Agbaji S | 36 | 21 | 7 | 3 |
| Immanuel Quickley S | 26 | 21 | 3 | 4 |
| Gradey Dick S | 34 | 15 | 0 | 2 |
| Chris Boucher | 24 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| RJ Barrett S | 30 | 13 | 6 | 3 |
| Davion Mitchell | 22 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| Jakob Poeltl S | 30 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| Bruno Fernando | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Jamison Battle | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Gradey Dick ·
Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:30 Q1
"Gradey Dick makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
RJ Barrett
TOR
13%
2
Ivica Zubac
LAC
13%
3
Jakob Poeltl
TOR
12%
4
Gradey Dick
TOR
12%
5
James Harden
LAC
11%
6
Norman Powell
LAC
9%
7
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
8%
8
Terance Mann
LAC
7%
9
Ochai Agbaji
TOR
7%
10
Davion Mitchell
TOR
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
14%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
4%
Jumper
52%
Layup
27%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RJ Barrett | TOR | 25.1 | 5.0 | 6.3 |
| 2 | Norman Powell | LAC | 23.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| 3 | James Harden | LAC | 22.9 | 7.1 | 10.7 |
| 4 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 17.7 | 12.0 | 3.1 |
| 5 | Gradey Dick | TOR | 17.4 | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| 6 | Jakob Poeltl | TOR | 16.4 | 10.7 | 3.1 |
| 7 | Ochai Agbaji | TOR | 12.5 | 4.6 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 12.1 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Davion Mitchell | TOR | 10.5 | 2.6 | 5.4 |
| 10 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 10.2 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| 11 | Kevin Porter Jr. | LAC | 9.2 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| 12 | Chris Boucher | TOR | 8.1 | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| 13 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 7.2 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 6.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| 15 | Terance Mann | LAC | 6.7 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 16 | Jamal Shead | TOR | 6.6 | 1.5 | 3.9 |
| 17 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Jonathan Mogbo | TOR | 5.3 | 4.2 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Jamison Battle | TOR | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 21 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 4.9 | 3.7 | 1.6 |
| 22 | Kai Jones | LAC | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Bruno Fernando | TOR | 3.4 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.