NBA games

BKN @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
100–105
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN28272718100
CLE34231335105

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home CLE
12% 88%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cameron Johnson S 31 23 5 1
Dennis Schroder S 37 22 2 5
Cam Thomas S 36 22 2 6
Dorian Finney-Smith S 29 10 4 0
Nic Claxton S 32 10 10 4
Keon Johnson 12 6 4 2
Shake Milton 18 3 0 1
Jalen Wilson 10 2 3 1
Noah Clowney 14 2 3 1
Ziaire Williams 20 0 3 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Evan Mobley S 35 23 16 1
Donovan Mitchell S 35 22 1 1
Darius Garland S 32 20 1 6
Caris LeVert 31 12 2 6
Georges Niang 15 8 2 1
Sam Merrill 20 6 2 2
Jarrett Allen S 21 4 3 0
Ty Jerome 18 4 1 5
Isaac Okoro S 15 3 1 1
Dean Wade 18 3 4 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Dorian Finney-Smith · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:14 Q1
"Dorian Finney-Smith makes 3-foot driving floating jump shot (Cam Thomas assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Evan Mobley CLE
14%
2 Cam Thomas BKN
13%
3 Jarrett Allen CLE
13%
4 Donovan Mitchell CLE
12%
5 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN
9%
6 Nic Claxton BKN
9%
7 Dennis Schroder BKN
9%
8 Darius Garland CLE
7%
9 Cameron Johnson BKN
7%
10 Isaac Okoro CLE
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
13%
Dunk
12%
Free Throw
24%
Jumper
23%
Layup
28%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE 23.5 3.8 4.7
2 Cam Thomas BKN 23.4 3.6 3.4
3 Darius Garland CLE 22.4 2.9 6.8
4 Dennis Schroder BKN 20.4 3.3 6.3
5 Evan Mobley CLE 19.0 8.2 3.1
6 Cameron Johnson BKN 17.5 4.5 3.0
7 Jarrett Allen CLE 15.1 11.3 1.9
8 Caris LeVert CLE 11.4 3.0 4.6
9 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 10.4 4.7 1.8
10 Jalen Wilson BKN 9.3 3.2 2.0
11 Nic Claxton BKN 9.1 7.6 1.8
12 Ty Jerome CLE 9.1 2.2 3.1
13 Ziaire Williams BKN 8.8 4.3 1.4
14 Dean Wade CLE 7.5 4.3 1.7
15 Sam Merrill CLE 7.3 1.9 1.4
16 Isaac Okoro CLE 6.6 2.8 1.6
17 Georges Niang CLE 6.5 3.1 1.4
18 Noah Clowney BKN 6.3 3.2 1.0
19 Keon Johnson BKN 4.8 2.7 0.9
20 Jaylon Tyson CLE 4.3 2.3 1.0
21 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 3.8 1.6 0.9
22 Shake Milton BKN 3.5 0.9 0.9
23 Tristan Thompson CLE 3.1 2.2 0.6
24 Tyrese Martin BKN 2.6 1.2 0.4
25 Luke Travers CLE 2.2 2.0 0.7
26 Yongxi Cui BKN 1.4 0.5 0.2

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.