NBA games

GS @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
117–136
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
GS22204134117
CLE39442924136

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (GS) games this season
GS away
home CLE
73% 27%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jonathan Kuminga 29 21 5 5
Brandin Podziemski 27 14 7 4
Stephen Curry S 24 12 1 2
Moses Moody 17 11 2 1
Andrew Wiggins S 21 11 1 2
De'Anthony Melton 18 10 2 3
Kevon Looney 16 9 7 1
Gary Payton II S 10 8 2 1
Draymond Green S 21 6 2 6
Kyle Anderson 14 4 3 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Darius Garland S 30 27 3 6
Evan Mobley S 26 23 4 4
Ty Jerome 21 20 1 3
Isaac Okoro S 27 16 1 4
Jarrett Allen S 30 13 12 3
Donovan Mitchell S 26 12 5 4
Caris LeVert 21 8 7 4
Georges Niang 14 7 2 1
Sam Merrill 15 5 2 1
Dean Wade 18 3 6 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Evan Mobley · Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:47 Q1
"Evan Mobley makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Evan Mobley CLE
13%
2 Donovan Mitchell CLE
13%
3 Jarrett Allen CLE
12%
4 Andrew Wiggins GS
10%
5 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS
9%
6 Darius Garland CLE
7%
7 Stephen Curry GS
7%
8 Draymond Green GS
7%
9 Isaac Okoro CLE
7%
10 Dean Wade CLE
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
11%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
28%
Jumper
25%
Layup
26%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE 23.8 3.8 4.6
2 Darius Garland CLE 21.6 2.9 6.3
3 Evan Mobley CLE 18.9 8.8 3.4
4 Stephen Curry GS 18.0 4.2 5.4
5 Buddy Hield GS 16.9 4.4 2.7
6 Jarrett Allen CLE 15.4 11.4 1.9
7 Andrew Wiggins GS 14.9 4.3 2.0
8 Jonathan Kuminga GS 12.6 4.6 1.7
9 Caris LeVert CLE 11.4 3.0 4.3
10 Brandin Podziemski GS 11.3 4.7 3.4
11 Draymond Green GS 10.0 5.9 3.6
12 Moses Moody GS 9.2 2.7 1.4
13 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS 8.6 4.8 2.2
14 Ty Jerome CLE 8.3 2.3 2.5
15 Dean Wade CLE 7.2 3.8 1.5
16 Sam Merrill CLE 7.0 1.9 1.4
17 De'Anthony Melton GS 6.6 1.8 2.6
18 Georges Niang CLE 6.2 3.0 1.4
19 Kyle Anderson GS 6.1 3.3 2.2
20 Isaac Okoro CLE 5.8 2.8 1.3
21 Kevon Looney GS 5.6 6.7 1.5
22 Gary Payton II GS 5.3 2.2 1.3
23 Lindy Waters III GS 5.2 2.3 1.3
24 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 3.8 1.7 1.1
25 Jaylon Tyson CLE 2.8 1.8 0.6
26 Tristan Thompson CLE 2.0 1.8 0.3
27 Gui Santos GS 1.4 0.9 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.