UTAH @ MIL
NBA
Fiserv Forum
·Final
100–123
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 29 | 32 | 16 | 23 | 100 |
| MIL | 31 | 26 | 31 | 35 | 123 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MIL) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH
away
home
MIL
36%
64%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Clarkson | 21 | 18 | 4 | 2 |
| Collin Sexton S | 27 | 14 | 2 | 7 |
| Johnny Juzang | 16 | 12 | 1 | 1 |
| John Collins | 25 | 11 | 3 | 1 |
| Keyonte George S | 25 | 10 | 3 | 3 |
| Lauri Markkanen S | 29 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Cody Williams S | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Walker Kessler S | 25 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| Patty Mills | 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Cody Williams ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"Cody Williams makes 28-foot three point jumper (Collin Sexton assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
11%
2
Bobby Portis
MIL
9%
3
Lauri Markkanen
UTAH
9%
4
Collin Sexton
UTAH
8%
5
Walker Kessler
UTAH
8%
6
Damian Lillard
MIL
8%
7
Gary Trent Jr.
MIL
6%
8
Jordan Clarkson
UTAH
6%
9
Brook Lopez
MIL
6%
10
Keyonte George
UTAH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
9%
Free Throw
40%
Jumper
14%
Layup
36%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 30.1 | 12.8 | 6.7 |
| 2 | Damian Lillard | MIL | 26.5 | 4.5 | 7.1 |
| 3 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 17.7 | 3.3 | 5.5 |
| 4 | Collin Sexton | UTAH | 17.0 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| 5 | Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 16.9 | 5.2 | 1.7 |
| 6 | John Collins | UTAH | 15.9 | 7.1 | 2.6 |
| 7 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 14.5 | 7.5 | 1.9 |
| 8 | Jordan Clarkson | UTAH | 11.9 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| 9 | Brook Lopez | MIL | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.7 |
| 10 | Walker Kessler | UTAH | 10.6 | 10.7 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 9.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 12 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 8.3 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| 13 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 7.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Johnny Juzang | UTAH | 7.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 6.9 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| 16 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 6.8 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 17 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 6.0 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| 18 | Pat Connaughton | MIL | 5.5 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| 19 | AJ Green | MIL | 5.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Drew Eubanks | UTAH | 5.3 | 3.9 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 4.8 | 1.1 | 3.5 |
| 22 | Patty Mills | UTAH | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 23 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 4.0 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 24 | Delon Wright | MIL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| 25 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 26 | Stanley Umude | MIL | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 27 | Liam Robbins | MIL | 3.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 28 | Tyler Smith | MIL | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.5 |
| 29 | MarJon Beauchamp | MIL | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.