PHI @ LAC
NBA
Intuit Dome
·Final
98–110
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 27 | 24 | 17 | 30 | 98 |
| LAC | 24 | 27 | 33 | 26 | 110 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (PHI) games this season
PHI
away
home
LAC
21%
79%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George S | 24 | 18 | 7 | 2 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. S | 25 | 18 | 2 | 3 |
| Caleb Martin S | 31 | 14 | 2 | 2 |
| Tyrese Maxey S | 32 | 12 | 1 | 1 |
| KJ Martin | 18 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| Andre Drummond S | 32 | 9 | 10 | 1 |
| Ricky Council IV | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Jared McCain | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Eric Gordon | 17 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
James Harden ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:30 Q1
"James Harden makes 13-foot step back jumpshot (Ivica Zubac assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Tyrese Maxey
PHI
14%
2
Ivica Zubac
LAC
13%
3
Paul George
PHI
11%
4
James Harden
LAC
11%
5
Kelly Oubre Jr.
PHI
10%
6
Andre Drummond
PHI
10%
7
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
8%
8
Norman Powell
LAC
8%
9
Caleb Martin
PHI
7%
10
Terance Mann
LAC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
7%
Jumper
36%
Layup
33%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyrese Maxey | PHI | 22.7 | 3.0 | 4.4 |
| 2 | James Harden | LAC | 20.9 | 7.2 | 9.4 |
| 3 | Norman Powell | LAC | 20.0 | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| 4 | Paul George | PHI | 16.3 | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| 5 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 15.6 | 11.5 | 2.7 |
| 6 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | PHI | 15.4 | 4.0 | 1.6 |
| 7 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 10.9 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| 8 | Caleb Martin | PHI | 10.0 | 5.2 | 2.1 |
| 9 | Andre Drummond | PHI | 9.4 | 10.4 | 1.2 |
| 10 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 9.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 11 | Kevin Porter Jr. | LAC | 9.0 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| 12 | Guerschon Yabusele | PHI | 8.7 | 4.6 | 2.2 |
| 13 | Jared McCain | PHI | 8.2 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 8.0 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 15 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 7.5 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 16 | Kyle Lowry | PHI | 7.2 | 2.5 | 3.1 |
| 17 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 18 | Terance Mann | LAC | 6.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Eric Gordon | PHI | 6.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 20 | KJ Martin | PHI | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 5.4 | 4.2 | 1.6 |
| 22 | Kai Jones | LAC | 4.9 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 4.9 | 3.2 | 2.0 |
| 24 | Ricky Council IV | PHI | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Reggie Jackson | PHI | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 26 | Adem Bona | PHI | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.