NBA games

UTAH @ CHI

NBA United Center ·Final
135–126
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH30323340135
CHI27264033126

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHI) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home CHI
36% 64%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keyonte George S 39 33 1 9
John Collins 31 28 13 5
Collin Sexton S 34 24 2 5
Walker Kessler S 32 12 16 2
Cody Williams S 30 11 5 4
Johnny Juzang 18 8 1 2
Kyle Filipowski S 17 7 5 2
Patty Mills 13 6 1 5
Drew Eubanks 16 4 4 1
Brice Sensabaugh 10 2 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Coby White S 34 28 4 6
Ayo Dosunmu S 35 25 5 5
Nikola Vucevic S 33 23 10 6
Josh Giddey S 30 15 2 7
Patrick Williams S 27 13 2 2
Talen Horton-Tucker 28 10 6 4
Jalen Smith 15 8 3 1
Dalen Terry 18 4 2 4
Matas Buzelis 4 0 1 0
Julian Phillips 16 0 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Keyonte George · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Keyonte George makes 26-foot three point jumper (Collin Sexton assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Nikola Vucevic CHI
15%
2 Keyonte George UTAH
13%
3 Collin Sexton UTAH
12%
4 Walker Kessler UTAH
12%
5 Josh Giddey CHI
11%
6 Coby White CHI
10%
7 Patrick Williams CHI
10%
8 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
9%
9 Cody Williams UTAH
8%
10 John Collins UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
27%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
27%
Layup
20%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Coby White CHI 23.4 4.4 5.4
2 Nikola Vucevic CHI 20.2 10.8 4.0
3 Keyonte George UTAH 16.5 3.5 5.5
4 Collin Sexton UTAH 16.3 3.7 4.1
5 Josh Giddey CHI 15.1 6.8 6.3
6 John Collins UTAH 14.0 6.8 2.6
7 Ayo Dosunmu CHI 10.9 4.3 3.3
8 Walker Kessler UTAH 10.8 11.6 1.5
9 Jalen Smith CHI 9.8 6.3 1.3
10 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 8.8 2.1 1.7
11 Patrick Williams CHI 8.5 4.8 2.2
12 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 8.1 2.6 1.6
13 Johnny Juzang UTAH 8.0 2.0 1.1
14 Talen Horton-Tucker CHI 7.0 2.5 1.4
15 Cody Williams UTAH 6.8 3.1 1.5
16 Julian Phillips CHI 6.6 2.5 1.1
17 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 6.2 4.0 1.5
18 Drew Eubanks UTAH 5.7 4.2 0.8
19 Patty Mills UTAH 4.6 1.7 1.0
20 Matas Buzelis CHI 4.2 1.6 0.9
21 Torrey Craig CHI 4.0 1.6 0.6
22 Dalen Terry CHI 3.9 2.3 1.7
23 Jevon Carter CHI 3.4 0.9 0.7
24 Chris Duarte CHI 3.2 1.3 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.