OKC @ LAC
NBA
Intuit Dome
·Final
105–92
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 19 | 34 | 28 | 24 | 105 |
| LAC | 28 | 29 | 21 | 14 | 92 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (OKC) games this season
OKC
away
home
LAC
56%
44%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander S | 31 | 25 | 3 | 9 |
| Luguentz Dort S | 30 | 16 | 4 | 3 |
| Jalen Williams S | 34 | 15 | 7 | 4 |
| Aaron Wiggins S | 30 | 12 | 5 | 2 |
| Isaiah Joe | 22 | 12 | 2 | 1 |
| Chet Holmgren S | 29 | 10 | 14 | 4 |
| Cason Wallace | 25 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Alex Caruso | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Ousmane Dieng | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Terance Mann ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:23 Q1
"Terance Mann makes 24-foot three point jumper (Norman Powell assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Ivica Zubac
LAC
13%
2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC
11%
3
James Harden
LAC
11%
4
Jalen Williams
OKC
10%
5
Chet Holmgren
OKC
9%
6
Norman Powell
LAC
9%
7
Luguentz Dort
OKC
8%
8
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
8%
9
Isaiah Joe
OKC
8%
10
Terance Mann
LAC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
25%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
21%
Layup
35%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 23.5 | 6.0 | 5.4 |
| 2 | James Harden | LAC | 20.8 | 6.3 | 9.8 |
| 3 | Norman Powell | LAC | 17.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| 4 | Jalen Williams | OKC | 16.8 | 4.9 | 4.1 |
| 5 | Chet Holmgren | OKC | 16.1 | 7.9 | 2.3 |
| 6 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 13.9 | 10.1 | 2.2 |
| 7 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 10.3 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| 8 | Luguentz Dort | OKC | 9.0 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 9 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 10 | Kevin Porter Jr. | LAC | 8.8 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| 11 | Aaron Wiggins | OKC | 8.6 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 12 | Ousmane Dieng | OKC | 8.5 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| 13 | Cason Wallace | OKC | 8.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 14 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 7.8 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 7.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 16 | Isaiah Joe | OKC | 7.5 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 17 | Ajay Mitchell | OKC | 7.5 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 18 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 6.3 | 3.6 | 1.5 |
| 19 | Terance Mann | LAC | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| 20 | Dillon Jones | OKC | 5.9 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| 21 | Kai Jones | LAC | 5.6 | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 5.2 | 4.8 | 1.7 |
| 23 | Alex Caruso | OKC | 4.6 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 24 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 3.9 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| 25 | Malevy Leons | OKC | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.