NO @ GS
NBA
Chase Center
·Final
89–104
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 20 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 89 |
| GS | 28 | 20 | 31 | 25 | 104 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (GS) / 7 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
GS
10%
90%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hawkins S | 39 | 23 | 4 | 1 |
| Jose Alvarado S | 35 | 16 | 5 | 4 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 32 | 14 | 5 | 6 |
| Zion Williamson S | 33 | 12 | 12 | 4 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 23 | 9 | 5 | 3 |
| Jamal Cain | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Javonte Green | 26 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| Trey Jemison III | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Brandon Boston | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Daniel Theis S | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Trayce Jackson-Davis ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Trayce Jackson-Davis makes alley oop layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Brandon Ingram
NO
16%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
16%
3
Moses Moody
GS
10%
4
Andrew Wiggins
GS
10%
5
Trayce Jackson-Davis
GS
9%
6
CJ McCollum
NO
9%
7
Brandin Podziemski
GS
8%
8
Daniel Theis
NO
7%
9
Buddy Hield
GS
7%
10
Draymond Green
GS
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
5%
Jumper
19%
Layup
53%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 22.5 | 6.2 | 3.9 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 20.6 | 7.3 | 3.8 |
| 3 | Andrew Wiggins | GS | 15.2 | 4.9 | 2.4 |
| 4 | CJ McCollum | NO | 15.0 | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| 5 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 14.3 | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| 6 | Buddy Hield | GS | 14.0 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| 7 | Moses Moody | GS | 12.4 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| 8 | Jonathan Kuminga | GS | 11.2 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| 9 | Brandin Podziemski | GS | 10.9 | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| 10 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 7.5 | 6.0 | 2.2 |
| 11 | Lindy Waters III | GS | 7.4 | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| 12 | Draymond Green | GS | 7.0 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| 13 | Yves Missi | NO | 6.7 | 4.8 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.1 | 2.0 | 3.4 |
| 15 | Daniel Theis | NO | 5.8 | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Kevon Looney | GS | 5.7 | 5.8 | 1.9 |
| 17 | Javonte Green | NO | 5.5 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| 18 | Kyle Anderson | GS | 5.2 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 19 | Gary Payton II | GS | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 20 | Jamal Cain | NO | 4.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 22 | Pat Spencer | GS | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 23 | Brandon Boston | NO | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Gui Santos | GS | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Reece Beekman | GS | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.