NO @ GS
NBA
Chase Center
·Final
106–124
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 31 | 20 | 28 | 27 | 106 |
| GS | 14 | 33 | 40 | 37 | 124 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 9 (GS) / 6 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
GS
16%
84%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 30 | 31 | 8 | 3 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 31 | 30 | 4 | 2 |
| Yves Missi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 3 |
| Jose Alvarado | 22 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| Herbert Jones S | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| CJ McCollum S | 31 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Theis S | 21 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 26 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Javonte Green | 19 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Moses Moody ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:43 Q1
"Moses Moody makes 28-foot three point jumper (Brandin Podziemski assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
17%
2
Brandon Ingram
NO
16%
3
Andrew Wiggins
GS
11%
4
CJ McCollum
NO
11%
5
Trayce Jackson-Davis
GS
10%
6
Jonathan Kuminga
GS
10%
7
Daniel Theis
NO
9%
8
Draymond Green
GS
7%
9
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
10
Jordan Hawkins
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
3%
Dunk
39%
Free Throw
7%
Jumper
25%
Layup
26%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 23.2 | 6.9 | 4.0 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 16.8 | 6.8 | 3.8 |
| 3 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 16.1 | 4.2 | 1.6 |
| 4 | CJ McCollum | NO | 15.9 | 4.0 | 2.8 |
| 5 | Andrew Wiggins | GS | 15.3 | 4.9 | 2.3 |
| 6 | Buddy Hield | GS | 13.1 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| 7 | Moses Moody | GS | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| 8 | Jonathan Kuminga | GS | 10.7 | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| 9 | Brandin Podziemski | GS | 10.1 | 4.6 | 3.6 |
| 10 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 7.9 | 6.1 | 2.0 |
| 11 | Herbert Jones | NO | 7.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| 12 | Draymond Green | GS | 6.9 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| 13 | Yves Missi | NO | 6.3 | 4.7 | 1.1 |
| 14 | Lindy Waters III | GS | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| 15 | Daniel Theis | NO | 5.7 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| 16 | Javonte Green | NO | 5.7 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 5.7 | 2.0 | 3.3 |
| 18 | Kevon Looney | GS | 5.5 | 5.4 | 1.9 |
| 19 | Gary Payton II | GS | 5.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 20 | Kyle Anderson | GS | 5.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| 21 | Jamal Cain | NO | 3.7 | 3.0 | 0.4 |
| 22 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Brandon Boston | NO | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 24 | Gui Santos | GS | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 25 | Pat Spencer | GS | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| 26 | Reece Beekman | GS | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.