LAC @ GS
NBA
Chase Center
·Final
112–104
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 34 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 112 |
| GS | 34 | 20 | 25 | 25 | 104 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 8 (GS) / 7 (LAC) games this season
LAC
away
home
GS
48%
52%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivica Zubac S | 38 | 23 | 18 | 6 |
| James Harden S | 36 | 23 | 7 | 11 |
| Norman Powell S | 28 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. S | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| Amir Coffey | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 17 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| Kris Dunn | 28 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| Nicolas Batum | 15 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Terance Mann S | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Kai Jones | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Stephen Curry ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:32 Q1
"Stephen Curry makes 24-foot three point jumper (Trayce Jackson-Davis assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
James Harden
LAC
12%
2
Norman Powell
LAC
11%
3
Ivica Zubac
LAC
10%
4
Andrew Wiggins
GS
10%
5
Stephen Curry
GS
10%
6
Trayce Jackson-Davis
GS
9%
7
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
9%
8
Jonathan Kuminga
GS
8%
9
Terance Mann
LAC
7%
10
Bones Hyland
LAC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
23%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
46%
Layup
14%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Harden | LAC | 22.9 | 5.5 | 9.7 |
| 2 | Norman Powell | LAC | 14.6 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 3 | Stephen Curry | GS | 14.0 | 3.7 | 4.7 |
| 4 | Buddy Hield | GS | 13.6 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| 5 | Moses Moody | GS | 13.6 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| 6 | Andrew Wiggins | GS | 12.9 | 5.2 | 2.6 |
| 7 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 11.9 | 7.9 | 1.8 |
| 8 | Jonathan Kuminga | GS | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.3 |
| 9 | Brandin Podziemski | GS | 10.4 | 4.7 | 3.5 |
| 10 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 8.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 11 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 8.7 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 12 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 8.6 | 6.4 | 2.1 |
| 13 | De'Anthony Melton | GS | 8.3 | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| 14 | Kevin Porter Jr. | LAC | 8.0 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| 15 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 7.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 16 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 7.2 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 17 | Lindy Waters III | GS | 6.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| 18 | Draymond Green | GS | 6.8 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| 19 | Kai Jones | LAC | 6.2 | 4.8 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Terance Mann | LAC | 5.8 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 5.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| 22 | Kyle Anderson | GS | 5.6 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| 23 | Kevon Looney | GS | 5.4 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| 24 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 4.9 | 4.9 | 1.6 |
| 25 | Gary Payton II | GS | 4.6 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 26 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 3.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 27 | Gui Santos | GS | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.