NO @ POR
NBA
Moda Center
·Final
103–125
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 25 | 22 | 30 | 26 | 103 |
| POR | 26 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 125 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 6 (POR) / 5 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
POR
29%
71%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum S | 36 | 27 | 4 | 3 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 34 | 17 | 7 | 3 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 32 | 14 | 8 | 6 |
| Zion Williamson S | 28 | 14 | 3 | 4 |
| Herbert Jones S | 31 | 12 | 2 | 1 |
| Javonte Green | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Yves Missi | 20 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Jose Alvarado | 16 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Daniel Theis S | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Brandon Ingram ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:20 Q1
"Brandon Ingram makes pullup jump shot (Zion Williamson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Brandon Ingram
NO
22%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
13%
3
Anfernee Simons
POR
10%
4
Deni Avdija
POR
9%
5
Jerami Grant
POR
9%
6
Toumani Camara
POR
8%
7
CJ McCollum
NO
8%
8
Deandre Ayton
POR
8%
9
Daniel Theis
NO
7%
10
Herbert Jones
NO
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
28%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
43%
Layup
15%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 23.9 | 6.5 | 3.7 |
| 2 | Anfernee Simons | POR | 19.3 | 2.6 | 4.4 |
| 3 | Scoot Henderson | POR | 18.7 | 4.1 | 4.9 |
| 4 | Jerami Grant | POR | 17.3 | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| 5 | Zion Williamson | NO | 16.5 | 7.7 | 3.7 |
| 6 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 16.3 | 4.1 | 1.4 |
| 7 | CJ McCollum | NO | 13.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| 8 | Toumani Camara | POR | 13.0 | 6.0 | 2.8 |
| 9 | Deni Avdija | POR | 11.2 | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| 10 | Deandre Ayton | POR | 10.5 | 9.5 | 1.6 |
| 11 | Rayan Rupert | POR | 9.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| 12 | Dalano Banton | POR | 8.1 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| 13 | Kris Murray | POR | 7.6 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| 14 | Donovan Clingan | POR | 7.1 | 8.9 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Herbert Jones | NO | 6.8 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Yves Missi | NO | 6.6 | 5.0 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| 18 | Daniel Theis | NO | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Jabari Walker | POR | 5.8 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Javonte Green | NO | 5.4 | 3.7 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Duop Reath | POR | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.