NO @ POR
NBA
Moda Center
·Final
105–103
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 15 | 22 | 38 | 30 | 105 |
| POR | 27 | 20 | 37 | 19 | 103 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 5 (POR) / 4 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
POR
35%
65%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hawkins | 29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 35 | 21 | 8 | 4 |
| CJ McCollum S | 40 | 20 | 2 | 3 |
| Zion Williamson S | 29 | 16 | 11 | 7 |
| Herbert Jones S | 29 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| Yves Missi | 22 | 8 | 6 | 2 |
| Daniel Theis S | 18 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Javonte Green | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jose Alvarado | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
CJ McCollum ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:25 Q1
"CJ McCollum makes 27-foot three point jumper (Brandon Ingram assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jerami Grant
POR
19%
2
Deni Avdija
POR
16%
3
Deandre Ayton
POR
14%
4
CJ McCollum
NO
14%
5
Toumani Camara
POR
14%
6
Daniel Theis
NO
11%
7
Herbert Jones
NO
10%
8
Jordan Hawkins
NO
0%
9
Scoot Henderson
POR
0%
10
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
54%
Dunk
12%
Free Throw
6%
Jumper
13%
Layup
14%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scoot Henderson | POR | 17.6 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| 2 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 14.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 3 | Toumani Camara | POR | 13.8 | 6.1 | 3.0 |
| 4 | Jerami Grant | POR | 13.6 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 5 | Deni Avdija | POR | 13.0 | 5.5 | 3.6 |
| 6 | CJ McCollum | NO | 11.2 | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| 7 | Deandre Ayton | POR | 9.8 | 7.9 | 1.5 |
| 8 | Rayan Rupert | POR | 9.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| 9 | Dalano Banton | POR | 8.0 | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| 10 | Donovan Clingan | POR | 7.7 | 9.1 | 1.2 |
| 11 | Kris Murray | POR | 7.6 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| 12 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.5 | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| 13 | Yves Missi | NO | 6.4 | 4.6 | 0.9 |
| 14 | Daniel Theis | NO | 6.2 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| 15 | Herbert Jones | NO | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Javonte Green | NO | 5.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Jabari Walker | POR | 5.7 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 19 | Duop Reath | POR | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Taze Moore | POR | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.