CHI @ MIL
NBA
Fiserv Forum
·Final
133–122
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 30 | 33 | 39 | 31 | 133 |
| MIL | 32 | 32 | 31 | 27 | 122 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 5 (MIL) / 6 (CHI) games this season
CHI
away
home
MIL
63%
37%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coby White S | 34 | 35 | 6 | 5 |
| Zach LaVine S | 33 | 25 | 5 | 1 |
| Nikola Vucevic S | 32 | 22 | 10 | 4 |
| Josh Giddey S | 24 | 17 | 6 | 9 |
| Patrick Williams S | 36 | 13 | 5 | 2 |
| Jalen Smith | 15 | 11 | 5 | 1 |
| Julian Phillips | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Dalen Terry | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 28 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Matas Buzelis | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Josh Giddey ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:28 Q1
"Josh Giddey makes 15-foot two point shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Nikola Vucevic
CHI
14%
2
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
13%
3
Coby White
CHI
11%
4
Josh Giddey
CHI
11%
5
Zach LaVine
CHI
10%
6
Brook Lopez
MIL
9%
7
Gary Trent Jr.
MIL
9%
8
Patrick Williams
CHI
9%
9
Damian Lillard
MIL
8%
10
Taurean Prince
MIL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
20%
Free Throw
5%
Jumper
28%
Layup
32%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 25.8 | 12.5 | 5.3 |
| 2 | Zach LaVine | CHI | 21.1 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| 3 | Damian Lillard | MIL | 21.1 | 5.2 | 6.5 |
| 4 | Coby White | CHI | 21.0 | 4.9 | 5.6 |
| 5 | Nikola Vucevic | CHI | 16.9 | 10.3 | 3.0 |
| 6 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 16.0 | 4.4 | 2.4 |
| 7 | Josh Giddey | CHI | 11.6 | 5.2 | 4.8 |
| 8 | Jalen Smith | CHI | 11.1 | 8.0 | 1.7 |
| 9 | Ayo Dosunmu | CHI | 10.4 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| 10 | Talen Horton-Tucker | CHI | 9.6 | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 8.6 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| 12 | Julian Phillips | CHI | 8.4 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
| 13 | Brook Lopez | MIL | 8.3 | 4.6 | 2.3 |
| 14 | Patrick Williams | CHI | 7.5 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 15 | Matas Buzelis | CHI | 7.4 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| 16 | Pat Connaughton | MIL | 6.9 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| 17 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 6.7 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| 18 | AJ Johnson | MIL | 6.7 | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| 19 | Dalen Terry | CHI | 6.0 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| 20 | Tyler Smith | MIL | 5.0 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Torrey Craig | CHI | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 4.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 23 | AJ Green | MIL | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 24 | Chris Duarte | CHI | 4.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 25 | Delon Wright | MIL | 4.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 26 | MarJon Beauchamp | MIL | 3.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 27 | Adama Sanogo | CHI | 3.5 | 4.1 | 0.5 |
| 28 | Jevon Carter | CHI | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 29 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 30 | Chris Livingston | MIL | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.