CHI @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
111–123
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 25 | 33 | 25 | 28 | 111 |
| NO | 29 | 30 | 36 | 28 | 123 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 3 (NO) / 5 (CHI) games this season
CHI
away
home
NO
25%
75%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine S | 37 | 27 | 5 | 3 |
| Nikola Vucevic S | 31 | 21 | 11 | 1 |
| Jalen Smith | 17 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| Josh Giddey S | 30 | 14 | 5 | 3 |
| Coby White S | 35 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 25 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
| Patrick Williams S | 24 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Lonzo Ball | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Chris Duarte | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Phillips | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Daniel Theis ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"Daniel Theis makes layup (Dejounte Murray assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Josh Giddey
CHI
12%
2
Zach LaVine
CHI
11%
3
Nikola Vucevic
CHI
11%
4
Dejounte Murray
NO
9%
5
Patrick Williams
CHI
9%
6
CJ McCollum
NO
9%
7
Coby White
CHI
8%
8
Dalen Terry
CHI
8%
9
Daniel Theis
NO
8%
10
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
43%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
11%
Jumper
28%
Layup
12%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coby White | CHI | 16.6 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| 2 | Zach LaVine | CHI | 16.3 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| 3 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 15.9 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| 4 | Nikola Vucevic | CHI | 13.5 | 9.4 | 2.8 |
| 5 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 10.1 | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| 6 | Jalen Smith | CHI | 9.8 | 7.9 | 1.5 |
| 7 | CJ McCollum | NO | 9.7 | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| 8 | Talen Horton-Tucker | CHI | 9.6 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| 9 | Josh Giddey | CHI | 9.1 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| 10 | Ayo Dosunmu | CHI | 7.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| 11 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 7.2 | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| 12 | Julian Phillips | CHI | 7.1 | 3.0 | 0.7 |
| 13 | Matas Buzelis | CHI | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 14 | Herbert Jones | NO | 6.4 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Yves Missi | NO | 6.1 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| 16 | Javonte Green | NO | 5.9 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| 17 | Daniel Theis | NO | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Patrick Williams | CHI | 5.1 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| 20 | Dalen Terry | CHI | 4.5 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| 21 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Torrey Craig | CHI | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 23 | Jevon Carter | CHI | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Chris Duarte | CHI | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.