MIN @ LAL
NBA
crypto.com Arena
·Final
103–110
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 23 | 19 | 32 | 29 | 103 |
| LAL | 22 | 33 | 27 | 28 | 110 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 6 (LAL) / 5 (MIN) games this season
MIN
away
home
LAL
31%
69%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards S | 41 | 27 | 6 | 3 |
| Julius Randle S | 34 | 16 | 9 | 4 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 28 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| Rudy Gobert S | 35 | 13 | 14 | 2 |
| Naz Reid | 26 | 12 | 4 | 1 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 32 | 10 | 3 | 3 |
| Jaden McDaniels S | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Mike Conley S | 20 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Joe Ingles | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Rui Hachimura ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:18 Q1
"Rui Hachimura makes 26-foot three point jumper (Anthony Davis assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Anthony Edwards
MIN
8%
2
Austin Reaves
LAL
7%
3
Anthony Davis
LAL
6%
4
D'Angelo Russell
LAL
6%
5
Rui Hachimura
LAL
6%
6
Rudy Gobert
MIN
5%
7
Luka Garza
MIN
5%
8
Terrence Shannon Jr.
MIN
5%
9
Jaden McDaniels
MIN
5%
10
Rob Dillingham
MIN
5%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
32%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
39%
Jumper
8%
Layup
17%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Davis | LAL | 23.8 | 10.1 | 2.9 |
| 2 | Anthony Edwards | MIN | 21.8 | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| 3 | Dalton Knecht | LAL | 17.8 | 4.5 | 2.4 |
| 4 | Luka Garza | MIN | 15.8 | 6.1 | 1.3 |
| 5 | Austin Reaves | LAL | 14.5 | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| 6 | Josh Minott | MIN | 12.8 | 5.5 | 1.7 |
| 7 | LeBron James | LAL | 12.8 | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| 8 | Donte DiVincenzo | MIN | 12.5 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| 9 | Rui Hachimura | LAL | 12.5 | 6.7 | 1.5 |
| 10 | Naz Reid | MIN | 11.4 | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| 11 | D'Angelo Russell | LAL | 11.3 | 2.5 | 4.8 |
| 12 | Rob Dillingham | MIN | 9.2 | 2.4 | 4.7 |
| 13 | Rudy Gobert | MIN | 9.1 | 10.1 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 8.3 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| 15 | Max Christie | LAL | 8.0 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 17 | Jalen Hood-Schifino | LAL | 6.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 |
| 18 | Jaxson Hayes | LAL | 6.1 | 5.9 | 1.5 |
| 19 | Terrence Shannon Jr. | MIN | 5.7 | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 20 | Leonard Miller | MIN | 5.1 | 4.0 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Mike Conley | MIN | 4.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 22 | Gabe Vincent | LAL | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Bronny James | LAL | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Joe Ingles | MIN | 4.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 25 | Cam Reddish | LAL | 4.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 26 | PJ Dozier | MIN | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 27 | Maxwell Lewis | LAL | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.