UTAH @ OKC
NBA
Paycom Center
·Final
106–133
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 25 | 25 | 25 | 31 | 106 |
| OKC | 32 | 30 | 40 | 31 | 133 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (OKC) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH
away
home
OKC
17%
83%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton S | 28 | 17 | 3 | 4 |
| Walker Kessler S | 36 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| Keyonte George S | 31 | 16 | 4 | 5 |
| John Collins S | 31 | 15 | 5 | 2 |
| Johnny Juzang | 24 | 13 | 0 | 1 |
| Lauri Markkanen S | 31 | 13 | 6 | 2 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Isaiah Collier | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Drew Eubanks | 12 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jalen Williams ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:34 Q1
"Jalen Williams makes two point shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jalen Williams
OKC
13%
2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC
11%
3
Lauri Markkanen
UTAH
10%
4
Collin Sexton
UTAH
9%
5
Walker Kessler
UTAH
8%
6
Luguentz Dort
OKC
8%
7
Isaiah Hartenstein
OKC
8%
8
John Collins
UTAH
7%
9
Svi Mykhailiuk
UTAH
7%
10
Keyonte George
UTAH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
17%
Jumper
30%
Layup
32%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 30.8 | 4.3 | 7.8 |
| 2 | Jalen Williams | OKC | 25.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 |
| 3 | John Collins | UTAH | 21.5 | 10.4 | 3.1 |
| 4 | Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 20.3 | 6.1 | 2.4 |
| 5 | Collin Sexton | UTAH | 18.8 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| 6 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 17.5 | 3.6 | 5.3 |
| 7 | Isaiah Hartenstein | OKC | 14.6 | 11.0 | 4.1 |
| 8 | Walker Kessler | UTAH | 12.3 | 11.3 | 1.4 |
| 9 | Luguentz Dort | OKC | 10.0 | 5.3 | 2.2 |
| 10 | Aaron Wiggins | OKC | 9.0 | 3.3 | 1.6 |
| 11 | Isaiah Joe | OKC | 8.9 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| 12 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 7.8 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 13 | Cason Wallace | OKC | 7.5 | 3.8 | 2.6 |
| 14 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 7.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 6.7 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| 16 | Ajay Mitchell | OKC | 6.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 17 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 5.7 | 2.0 | 3.5 |
| 18 | Kenrich Williams | OKC | 5.5 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Drew Eubanks | UTAH | 5.1 | 3.8 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Johnny Juzang | UTAH | 4.9 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 21 | Dillon Jones | OKC | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Patty Mills | UTAH | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Branden Carlson | OKC | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 24 | Adam Flagler | OKC | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.