NBA games

NY @ CHA

NBA Spectrum Center ·Final
99–98
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY1531252899
CHA2326232698

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHA) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home CHA
79% 21%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Brunson S 37 31 6 6
Karl-Anthony Towns S 39 19 12 5
Miles McBride 27 14 5 1
Josh Hart S 41 13 12 5
Mikal Bridges S 37 8 2 2
OG Anunoby S 40 8 4 0
Cameron Payne 11 6 3 1
Jericho Sims 8 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Brandon Miller S 37 20 6 3
Josh Green S 29 15 1 3
Tidjane Salaun S 35 14 8 1
KJ Simpson 16 11 1 2
Vasilije Micic S 31 9 2 8
Cody Martin 22 9 7 5
Nick Smith Jr. 11 8 0 1
Seth Curry 10 6 1 0
Moussa Diabate S 37 6 11 1
Taj Gibson 11 0 2 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Karl-Anthony Towns · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:33 Q1
"Karl-Anthony Towns makes 7-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Brandon Miller CHA
17%
2 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
14%
3 Mikal Bridges NY
10%
4 Josh Hart NY
9%
5 Nick Richards CHA
9%
6 OG Anunoby NY
9%
7 Jalen Brunson NY
9%
8 Taj Gibson CHA
8%
9 Josh Green CHA
7%
10 Tidjane Salaun CHA
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
29%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
26%
Layup
21%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 26.7 3.5 9.0
2 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 25.9 11.4 4.3
3 Brandon Miller CHA 22.9 5.6 4.9
4 OG Anunoby NY 20.2 5.7 2.0
5 Mikal Bridges NY 16.2 4.5 3.3
6 Josh Hart NY 15.5 7.4 5.9
7 Miles McBride NY 9.5 3.0 2.3
8 Cody Martin CHA 9.0 4.9 2.5
9 Nick Richards CHA 8.6 7.1 1.1
10 Josh Green CHA 8.3 3.1 2.0
11 Cameron Payne NY 8.2 2.2 3.0
12 Tidjane Salaun CHA 6.4 4.1 1.4
13 Moussa Diabate CHA 6.1 9.4 1.2
14 Vasilije Micic CHA 5.1 2.1 1.6
15 KJ Simpson CHA 4.3 1.9 1.5
16 Nick Smith Jr. CHA 4.0 1.3 0.9
17 Taj Gibson CHA 3.8 3.6 0.8
18 Seth Curry CHA 3.7 1.3 0.6
19 Jericho Sims NY 3.6 3.7 0.7
20 Tyler Kolek NY 3.0 1.1 0.8
21 Pacome Dadiet NY 2.4 1.5 0.6
22 Matt Ryan NY 1.7 0.6 0.4
23 Ariel Hukporti NY 1.5 2.0 0.3
24 Jacob Toppin NY 1.0 0.6 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.