NBA games

BKN @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
98–113
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN2426272198
PHI29242634113

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home PHI
57% 43%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cameron Johnson S 36 37 1 2
Cam Thomas S 30 18 3 7
Nic Claxton 22 12 8 3
Dennis Schroder S 34 8 3 7
Jalen Wilson 21 6 6 1
Trendon Watford 16 6 3 2
Dorian Finney-Smith S 26 5 2 1
Ben Simmons S 26 2 4 4
Noah Clowney 19 2 4 0
Ziaire Williams 11 2 0 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jared McCain S 39 30 5 3
Tyrese Maxey S 27 26 4 5
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 26 11 9 3
Caleb Martin S 30 10 0 4
Guerschon Yabusele S 31 10 11 3
Andre Drummond 17 10 6 1
Reggie Jackson 22 9 0 2
Eric Gordon 20 5 1 3
KJ Martin 18 2 4 1
Ricky Council IV 12 0 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Guerschon Yabusele · 3PT (3 pts) · 10:46 Q1
"Guerschon Yabusele makes 25-foot three point jumper (Caleb Martin assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Joel Embiid PHI
14%
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI
11%
3 Dennis Schroder BKN
10%
4 Cam Thomas BKN
10%
5 Nic Claxton BKN
9%
6 Cameron Johnson BKN
9%
7 Caleb Martin PHI
8%
8 Ben Simmons BKN
8%
9 Jalen Wilson BKN
7%
10 Jared McCain PHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
7%
Dunk
12%
Free Throw
17%
Jumper
27%
Layup
37%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Joel Embiid PHI 22.9 8.3 4.0
2 Cam Thomas BKN 22.8 3.4 3.7
3 Tyrese Maxey PHI 21.9 3.3 4.2
4 Jared McCain PHI 20.2 2.8 3.8
5 Cameron Johnson BKN 19.3 4.4 3.0
6 Dennis Schroder BKN 15.7 3.7 5.6
7 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 12.1 4.3 2.0
8 Caleb Martin PHI 11.3 4.4 2.9
9 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 10.9 4.5 1.5
10 Jalen Wilson BKN 9.6 3.0 1.8
11 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 9.5 4.6 1.6
12 Nic Claxton BKN 9.3 7.8 2.0
13 Andre Drummond PHI 8.6 7.4 1.2
14 Ziaire Williams BKN 8.0 4.8 1.1
15 Ben Simmons BKN 7.3 6.2 5.9
16 Noah Clowney BKN 6.0 3.0 1.0
17 Eric Gordon PHI 6.0 1.7 1.4
18 Keon Johnson BKN 5.6 2.9 1.3
19 KJ Martin PHI 5.1 2.3 0.8
20 Reggie Jackson PHI 4.1 1.5 1.7
21 Shake Milton BKN 3.5 1.3 1.3
22 Lester Quinones PHI 3.2 1.3 0.5
23 Ricky Council IV PHI 3.1 1.5 0.9
24 Adem Bona PHI 2.0 1.6 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.