NBA games

UTAH @ LAL

NBA crypto.com Arena ·Final
118124
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH22223143118
LAL34234027124

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAL) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home LAL
20% 80%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 36 25 8 1
Collin Sexton S 32 19 1 4
John Collins S 29 18 8 2
Jordan Clarkson 26 18 4 2
Keyonte George S 29 18 1 6
Drew Eubanks 19 8 8 2
Johnny Juzang 15 7 5 0
Kyle Filipowski S 25 3 5 6
Isaiah Collier 20 2 1 4
Cody Williams 8 0 1 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Dalton Knecht S 38 37 5 0
Anthony Davis S 34 26 14 6
LeBron James S 34 26 2 12
Austin Reaves S 33 17 0 5
D'Angelo Russell 26 8 6 6
Cam Reddish S 25 4 2 0
Gabe Vincent 19 3 2 1
Christian Koloko 14 2 3 0
Max Christie 17 1 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Lauri Markkanen · Layup (2 pts) · 11:33 Q1
"Lauri Markkanen makes alley oop layup (John Collins assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 LeBron James LAL
11%
2 John Collins UTAH
10%
3 Keyonte George UTAH
10%
4 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
9%
5 Anthony Davis LAL
9%
6 Collin Sexton UTAH
9%
7 Austin Reaves LAL
8%
8 Max Christie LAL
8%
9 Quincy Olivari LAL
7%
10 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
22%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
32%
Layup
22%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Anthony Davis LAL 29.9 10.7 3.3
2 LeBron James LAL 25.6 8.7 10.0
3 John Collins UTAH 20.4 8.6 3.3
4 Austin Reaves LAL 19.7 3.4 5.7
5 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 18.8 6.0 2.8
6 Keyonte George UTAH 17.9 3.4 6.0
7 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 17.6 4.0 3.9
8 Collin Sexton UTAH 17.0 3.4 3.8
9 D'Angelo Russell LAL 14.0 2.5 5.0
10 Dalton Knecht LAL 9.4 2.8 1.4
11 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 9.3 4.7 2.0
12 Quincy Olivari LAL 8.5 3.1 1.4
13 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 7.1 1.5 1.3
14 Cody Williams UTAH 6.1 2.5 1.5
15 Isaiah Collier UTAH 5.8 2.1 3.6
16 Cam Reddish LAL 5.6 2.7 0.9
17 Max Christie LAL 5.3 2.1 1.2
18 Johnny Juzang UTAH 5.1 1.7 1.1
19 Drew Eubanks UTAH 5.0 3.8 1.0
20 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 4.8 1.6 0.7
21 Gabe Vincent LAL 4.7 1.4 1.0
22 Patty Mills UTAH 3.4 1.0 1.0
23 Armel Traore LAL 3.4 3.4 0.6
24 Christian Koloko LAL 3.1 2.1 0.7
25 Maxwell Lewis LAL 2.4 1.0 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.