DEN @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
94–101
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 22 | 32 | 18 | 22 | 94 |
| NO | 32 | 27 | 19 | 23 | 101 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (DEN) games this season
DEN
away
home
NO
29%
71%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. S | 39 | 24 | 6 | 3 |
| Peyton Watson S | 29 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| Jamal Murray S | 43 | 16 | 6 | 8 |
| Christian Braun S | 37 | 15 | 4 | 3 |
| Dario Saric S | 34 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| Julian Strawther | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Russell Westbrook | 22 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Vlatko Cancar | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Hunter Tyson | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jamal Murray ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Jamal Murray makes 25-foot three point jumper (Dario Saric assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Brandon Ingram
NO
17%
2
Christian Braun
DEN
15%
3
Jamal Murray
DEN
14%
4
Yves Missi
NO
12%
5
Michael Porter Jr.
DEN
12%
6
Javonte Green
NO
10%
7
Brandon Boston
NO
10%
8
Peyton Watson
DEN
9%
9
Jordan Hawkins
NO
0%
10
Dario Saric
DEN
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
12%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
40%
Layup
23%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 24.0 | 5.9 | 6.6 |
| 2 | Michael Porter Jr. | DEN | 18.3 | 6.2 | 3.0 |
| 3 | Jamal Murray | DEN | 17.8 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| 4 | Christian Braun | DEN | 16.2 | 5.3 | 1.7 |
| 5 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 15.5 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 6 | Russell Westbrook | DEN | 12.5 | 3.9 | 5.4 |
| 7 | Brandon Boston | NO | 12.4 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| 8 | Julian Strawther | DEN | 8.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Peyton Watson | DEN | 8.3 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| 10 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 7.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| 11 | Yves Missi | NO | 7.2 | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| 12 | Jaylen Nowell | NO | 6.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 13 | Javonte Green | NO | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Jamal Cain | NO | 5.6 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| 15 | DeAndre Jordan | DEN | 3.8 | 4.6 | 0.8 |
| 16 | Dario Saric | DEN | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Zeke Nnaji | DEN | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 18 | Hunter Tyson | DEN | 3.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| 19 | PJ Hall | DEN | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Daniel Theis | NO | 3.4 | 3.2 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Vlatko Cancar | DEN | 3.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Trey Alexander | DEN | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 24 | Trey Jemison III | NO | 2.9 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.