NBA games

BKN @ NY

NBA Madison Square Garden ·Final
122–124
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN32272340122
NY37313224124

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NY) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home NY
28% 72%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas S 39 43 2 3
Cameron Johnson S 36 17 5 3
Dorian Finney-Smith S 32 15 4 3
Dennis Schroder S 34 14 3 8
Ziaire Williams 28 9 8 1
Keon Johnson 12 7 3 1
Jalen Wilson 16 6 2 1
Noah Clowney 13 5 1 2
Ben Simmons S 25 4 7 5
Shake Milton 6 2 2 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Brunson S 34 37 3 7
OG Anunoby S 39 25 8 1
Mikal Bridges S 41 22 5 4
Josh Hart S 40 14 9 9
Cameron Payne 19 10 3 0
Ariel Hukporti 30 7 4 3
Pacome Dadiet 12 5 4 0
Jericho Sims S 18 4 7 1
Tyler Kolek 7 0 2 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
OG Anunoby · Layup (2 pts) · 11:38 Q1
"OG Anunoby makes driving layup"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
14%
2 Jalen Brunson NY
12%
3 OG Anunoby NY
12%
4 Cam Thomas BKN
11%
5 Mikal Bridges NY
10%
6 Cameron Johnson BKN
9%
7 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN
9%
8 Dennis Schroder BKN
8%
9 Josh Hart NY
7%
10 Ziaire Williams BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
6%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
71%
Jumper
12%
Layup
9%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 26.2 12.1 3.5
2 Jalen Brunson NY 24.6 3.5 6.9
3 Cam Thomas BKN 22.9 3.4 3.7
4 Dennis Schroder BKN 20.2 3.3 6.0
5 OG Anunoby NY 18.1 4.7 2.8
6 Cameron Johnson BKN 17.4 4.2 2.9
7 Mikal Bridges NY 16.7 4.2 3.9
8 Josh Hart NY 14.1 9.9 5.7
9 Miles McBride NY 10.2 2.8 2.6
10 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 9.6 4.4 1.4
11 Ziaire Williams BKN 9.3 4.2 1.3
12 Jalen Wilson BKN 8.2 3.2 2.0
13 Cameron Payne NY 8.2 2.3 3.0
14 Ben Simmons BKN 7.5 5.7 5.6
15 Noah Clowney BKN 6.6 3.2 0.9
16 Keon Johnson BKN 5.5 3.1 1.1
17 Tyler Kolek NY 4.3 1.2 1.5
18 Pacome Dadiet NY 3.9 1.4 0.3
19 Tyrese Martin BKN 3.7 1.4 0.6
20 Shake Milton BKN 3.4 1.2 1.3
21 Jericho Sims NY 2.5 2.8 0.6
22 Matt Ryan NY 2.4 0.9 0.5
23 Ariel Hukporti NY 1.7 2.2 0.3
24 Yongxi Cui BKN 1.5 0.5 0.2
25 Jacob Toppin NY 1.2 0.6 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.