NBA games

PHX @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
120–112
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHX33312333120
UTAH21283033112

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (PHX) games this season
PHX away
home UTAH
61% 39%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Devin Booker S 34 31 2 4
Bradley Beal S 29 24 3 4
Mason Plumlee S 26 15 14 2
Grayson Allen 26 15 1 0
Royce O'Neale 24 9 3 2
Tyus Jones S 33 8 1 7
Ryan Dunn S 20 8 3 0
Oso Ighodaro 21 6 12 0
Josh Okogie 12 2 2 0
Monte Morris 15 2 1 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
John Collins S 34 29 10 4
Kyle Filipowski 23 18 6 2
Lauri Markkanen S 31 17 2 5
Jordan Clarkson 30 16 5 8
Collin Sexton S 31 15 5 3
Keyonte George S 33 9 5 4
Drew Eubanks 3 4 2 1
Isaiah Collier 15 4 1 1
Johnny Juzang 13 0 1 2
Cody Williams S 15 0 0 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Devin Booker · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:11 Q1
"Devin Booker makes 18-foot step back jumpshot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Devin Booker PHX
15%
2 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
13%
3 Bradley Beal PHX
12%
4 Collin Sexton UTAH
11%
5 Tyus Jones PHX
10%
6 Keyonte George UTAH
10%
7 Cody Williams UTAH
10%
8 Isaiah Collier UTAH
9%
9 Ryan Dunn PHX
8%
10 Royce O'Neale PHX
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
49%
Layup
17%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Devin Booker PHX 24.6 3.9 7.5
2 Bradley Beal PHX 18.2 4.4 3.9
3 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 17.2 5.8 2.3
4 Keyonte George UTAH 17.1 3.1 5.7
5 Collin Sexton UTAH 16.4 3.2 3.2
6 John Collins UTAH 16.2 7.4 2.6
7 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 13.7 4.1 3.2
8 Tyus Jones PHX 12.7 3.2 6.3
9 Royce O'Neale PHX 11.3 6.5 2.3
10 Grayson Allen PHX 8.5 2.7 1.5
11 Johnny Juzang UTAH 7.4 2.1 1.0
12 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 6.8 1.5 1.2
13 Ryan Dunn PHX 6.5 2.7 1.0
14 Josh Okogie PHX 6.5 2.4 1.1
15 Cody Williams UTAH 5.7 2.7 1.4
16 Mason Plumlee PHX 5.6 5.1 1.4
17 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 5.3 3.4 1.7
18 Oso Ighodaro PHX 5.2 3.6 1.4
19 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 4.8 1.6 0.6
20 Isaiah Collier UTAH 4.8 1.3 3.3
21 Monte Morris PHX 4.6 1.3 2.1
22 Bol Bol PHX 4.5 3.5 0.9
23 Drew Eubanks UTAH 4.2 3.8 0.7
24 Patty Mills UTAH 3.8 1.3 1.3
25 Damion Lee PHX 3.3 0.9 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.