OKC @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
106–85
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 23 | 37 | 25 | 21 | 106 |
| NO | 19 | 27 | 23 | 16 | 85 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (OKC) games this season
OKC
away
home
NO
70%
30%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander S | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 |
| Josh Giddey S | 31 | 21 | 8 | 6 |
| Jalen Williams S | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 |
| Luguentz Dort S | 39 | 12 | 4 | 3 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 16 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Chet Holmgren S | 33 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| Isaiah Joe | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Jaylin Williams | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Cason Wallace | 18 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Gordon Hayward | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Brandon Ingram ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 10:59 Q1
"Brandon Ingram makes 12-foot pullup jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Brandon Ingram
NO
14%
2
Jalen Williams
OKC
11%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC
11%
4
Chet Holmgren
OKC
11%
5
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
10%
6
CJ McCollum
NO
10%
7
Luguentz Dort
OKC
8%
8
Josh Giddey
OKC
8%
9
Trey Murphy III
NO
8%
10
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
10%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
27%
Jumper
28%
Layup
25%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 24.0 | 5.0 | 5.3 |
| 2 | CJ McCollum | NO | 22.0 | 4.2 | 5.2 |
| 3 | Jalen Williams | OKC | 19.4 | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| 4 | Chet Holmgren | OKC | 17.4 | 7.9 | 1.9 |
| 5 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 17.3 | 5.3 | 4.1 |
| 6 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 16.4 | 5.4 | 2.9 |
| 7 | Josh Giddey | OKC | 14.5 | 7.6 | 6.2 |
| 8 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 11.6 | 8.1 | 2.5 |
| 9 | Luguentz Dort | OKC | 11.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 10 | Herbert Jones | NO | 11.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| 11 | Aaron Wiggins | OKC | 10.7 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| 12 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 8.1 | 5.6 | 2.9 |
| 13 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 7.5 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| 14 | Isaiah Joe | OKC | 7.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| 15 | Cason Wallace | OKC | 6.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| 16 | Jaylin Williams | OKC | 5.9 | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| 17 | Kenrich Williams | OKC | 5.9 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 18 | Naji Marshall | NO | 5.9 | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Gordon Hayward | OKC | 5.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 20 | Lindy Waters III | OKC | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 5.0 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| 22 | Ousmane Dieng | OKC | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 23 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 24 | E.J. Liddell | NO | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Bismack Biyombo | OKC | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| 26 | Mike Muscala | OKC | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 27 | Cody Zeller | NO | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 28 | Matt Ryan | NO | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.