NO @ OKC
NBA
Paycom Center
·Final
92–94
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 17 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 92 |
| OKC | 17 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 94 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (OKC) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
OKC
9%
91%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III S | 44 | 21 | 4 | 2 |
| CJ McCollum S | 39 | 20 | 3 | 6 |
| Jonas Valanciunas S | 29 | 13 | 20 | 2 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 37 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 19 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| Herbert Jones S | 33 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| Jose Alvarado | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Naji Marshall | 16 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Dyson Daniels | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Chet Holmgren ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:07 Q1
"Chet Holmgren makes 26-foot three point jumper (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Josh Giddey
OKC
13%
2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC
12%
3
Brandon Ingram
NO
11%
4
Chet Holmgren
OKC
11%
5
Jalen Williams
OKC
11%
6
CJ McCollum
NO
10%
7
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
10%
8
Luguentz Dort
OKC
8%
9
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
10
Trey Murphy III
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
12%
Dunk
11%
Free Throw
24%
Jumper
23%
Layup
29%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 23.2 | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| 2 | CJ McCollum | NO | 22.3 | 4.7 | 5.3 |
| 3 | Jalen Williams | OKC | 19.3 | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| 4 | Josh Giddey | OKC | 18.1 | 8.1 | 7.0 |
| 5 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 17.1 | 5.6 | 4.8 |
| 6 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 17.1 | 5.5 | 3.2 |
| 7 | Chet Holmgren | OKC | 15.6 | 7.2 | 1.7 |
| 8 | Luguentz Dort | OKC | 11.6 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 9 | Aaron Wiggins | OKC | 11.2 | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| 10 | Herbert Jones | NO | 10.3 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| 11 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 10.3 | 6.8 | 2.1 |
| 12 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 9.2 | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| 13 | Larry Nance Jr. | NO | 8.5 | 5.2 | 3.2 |
| 14 | Isaiah Joe | OKC | 6.9 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 6.6 | 4.2 | 2.3 |
| 16 | Naji Marshall | NO | 6.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 17 | Cason Wallace | OKC | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| 18 | Kenrich Williams | OKC | 5.7 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Gordon Hayward | OKC | 5.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Jaylin Williams | OKC | 5.1 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| 21 | Lindy Waters III | OKC | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Ousmane Dieng | OKC | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 23 | E.J. Liddell | NO | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Keyontae Johnson | OKC | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 26 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 27 | Olivier Sarr | OKC | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 28 | Bismack Biyombo | OKC | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| 29 | Matt Ryan | NO | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 30 | Mike Muscala | OKC | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.