NBA games

WEST @ EAST

NBA Gainbridge Fieldhouse ·Final
186–211
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
WEST47424750186
EAST53515651211

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 0 (EAST) / 0 (WEST) games this season
WEST away
home EAST
36% 64%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Karl-Anthony Towns 28 50 8 3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander S 28 31 4 6
Kevin Durant S 25 18 5 5
Stephen Curry 26 16 5 8
Devin Booker 19 15 4 7
Nikola Jokic S 23 13 4 9
Paul George 10 13 1 2
LeBron James S 14 8 4 3
Luka Doncic S 23 7 7 7
Anthony Davis 22 6 8 8
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Damian Lillard S 28 39 3 6
Jaylen Brown 22 36 8 3
Tyrese Haliburton S 27 32 7 6
Giannis Antetokounmpo S 23 23 7 1
Jayson Tatum S 22 20 3 3
Scottie Barnes 18 16 8 3
Jalen Brunson 17 12 4 5
Tyrese Maxey 17 10 3 3
Donovan Mitchell 16 9 7 2
Paolo Banchero 19 6 9 5

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jayson Tatum · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:39 Q1
"Jayson Tatum makes 23-foot three point jumper (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Stephen Curry WEST
7%
2 Giannis Antetokounmpo EAST
7%
3 LeBron James WEST
5%
4 Tyrese Maxey EAST
5%
5 Karl-Anthony Towns WEST
5%
6 Bam Adebayo EAST
5%
7 Damian Lillard EAST
4%
8 Devin Booker WEST
4%
9 Anthony Davis WEST
4%
10 Scottie Barnes EAST
4%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
57%
Dunk
0%
Free Throw
15%
Jumper
20%
Layup
7%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Luka Doncic WEST 30.8 9.7 10.3
2 Giannis Antetokounmpo EAST 29.9 9.9 8.0
3 Jalen Brunson EAST 29.4 3.8 7.2
4 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander WEST 29.2 5.1 6.5
5 Donovan Mitchell EAST 28.5 5.0 6.8
6 Jayson Tatum EAST 26.9 9.2 6.3
7 Nikola Jokic WEST 26.3 11.6 8.6
8 Devin Booker WEST 26.2 4.4 5.7
9 Anthony Edwards WEST 26.0 5.3 6.2
10 Kevin Durant WEST 25.3 7.4 5.9
11 LeBron James WEST 25.1 6.5 8.2
12 Paolo Banchero EAST 24.6 6.1 6.8
13 Anthony Davis WEST 24.2 11.5 4.3
14 Stephen Curry WEST 24.0 5.3 6.6
15 Kawhi Leonard WEST 23.8 6.2 3.8
16 Tyrese Maxey EAST 23.7 4.0 5.8
17 Trae Young EAST 23.5 2.2 10.6
18 Damian Lillard EAST 22.5 4.0 6.5
19 Karl-Anthony Towns WEST 21.4 6.4 2.8
20 Scottie Barnes EAST 21.0 7.3 7.2
21 Jaylen Brown EAST 20.1 6.1 4.3
22 Paul George WEST 18.3 4.6 3.8
23 Bam Adebayo EAST 17.5 10.8 4.0
24 Tyrese Haliburton EAST 17.2 3.5 8.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.