NBA games

LAC @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
117–103
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
LAC32272929117
UTAH26202928103

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC away
home UTAH
84% 16%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kawhi Leonard S 38 41 5 5
Paul George S 37 20 3 2
Ivica Zubac S 42 18 12 3
James Harden S 34 12 7 8
Norman Powell 28 10 1 1
Terance Mann S 30 10 4 1
Russell Westbrook 17 5 5 2
Kobe Brown 14 1 3 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
John Collins S 35 20 13 2
Keyonte George S 28 15 0 3
Talen Horton-Tucker 22 15 1 5
Collin Sexton 18 13 3 3
Kelly Olynyk 18 13 4 2
Walker Kessler S 31 8 12 3
Simone Fontecchio S 31 8 2 0
Jordan Clarkson S 28 6 4 5
Ochai Agbaji 17 5 1 0
Taylor Hendricks 12 0 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jordan Clarkson UTAH
15%
2 Paul George LAC
12%
3 Kawhi Leonard LAC
10%
4 John Collins UTAH
9%
5 Ivica Zubac LAC
9%
6 Terance Mann LAC
8%
7 Simone Fontecchio UTAH
8%
8 James Harden LAC
8%
9 Omer Yurtseven UTAH
7%
10 Keyonte George UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
21%
Layup
35%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Kawhi Leonard LAC 23.9 6.6 3.8
2 Paul George LAC 23.5 5.9 5.3
3 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 21.1 3.5 5.3
4 James Harden LAC 18.2 4.1 8.2
5 Keyonte George UTAH 14.2 3.9 5.6
6 John Collins UTAH 13.6 8.3 1.4
7 Ivica Zubac LAC 13.3 10.2 1.4
8 Collin Sexton UTAH 12.5 3.2 3.6
9 Norman Powell LAC 11.5 2.7 1.4
10 Russell Westbrook LAC 10.3 6.1 4.5
11 Simone Fontecchio UTAH 9.4 3.2 1.9
12 Walker Kessler UTAH 9.4 8.3 1.1
13 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 9.2 2.8 3.3
14 Ochai Agbaji UTAH 8.9 2.8 1.4
15 Terance Mann LAC 8.0 3.5 1.6
16 Kelly Olynyk UTAH 7.7 5.3 3.4
17 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 6.2 5.9 1.0
18 Bones Hyland LAC 5.7 1.1 1.6
19 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 4.9 2.3 0.6
20 Kris Dunn UTAH 4.3 2.2 1.7
21 Kobe Brown LAC 3.5 1.9 0.8
22 Luka Samanic UTAH 3.4 1.8 0.6
23 P.J. Tucker LAC 2.4 1.7 0.7
24 Amir Coffey LAC 1.7 0.8 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.