NBA games

WSH @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
97–124
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
WSH1829242697
BKN26244034124

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (WSH) games this season
WSH away
home BKN
22% 78%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kyle Kuzma S 30 17 3 2
Deni Avdija S 27 15 7 4
Tyus Jones S 28 14 2 3
Bilal Coulibaly 25 11 10 2
Jordan Poole S 24 8 2 2
Mike Muscala 15 8 0 0
Corey Kispert 21 7 2 2
Jared Butler 14 5 3 0
Danilo Gallinari 19 4 2 1
Eugene Omoruyi 4 3 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Mikal Bridges S 30 21 4 3
Cam Thomas S 29 17 2 4
Day'Ron Sharpe 20 15 11 4
Spencer Dinwiddie S 33 14 3 9
Royce O'Neale 26 13 8 5
Nic Claxton S 26 13 15 0
Harry Giles III 5 8 2 0
Dorian Finney-Smith 26 8 3 0
Trendon Watford 19 8 2 2
Cameron Johnson S 25 7 5 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Mikal Bridges · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:30 Q1
"Mikal Bridges makes 22-foot three point jumper"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Kyle Kuzma WSH
15%
2 Cam Thomas BKN
14%
3 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN
10%
4 Jordan Poole WSH
10%
5 Mikal Bridges BKN
9%
6 Daniel Gafford WSH
9%
7 Nic Claxton BKN
9%
8 Cameron Johnson BKN
8%
9 Deni Avdija WSH
7%
10 Tyus Jones WSH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
15%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
42%
Layup
22%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Mikal Bridges BKN 26.4 6.0 5.2
2 Kyle Kuzma WSH 24.0 5.7 6.4
3 Cam Thomas BKN 23.3 4.5 3.1
4 Spencer Dinwiddie BKN 20.2 4.5 7.8
5 Jordan Poole WSH 19.4 3.6 4.0
6 Cameron Johnson BKN 17.3 5.7 3.7
7 Tyus Jones WSH 13.5 3.5 4.7
8 Nic Claxton BKN 13.0 10.3 1.8
9 Deni Avdija WSH 12.6 4.7 3.7
10 Daniel Gafford WSH 11.9 8.1 2.0
11 Lonnie Walker IV BKN 11.9 3.1 1.7
12 Corey Kispert WSH 11.0 2.8 1.7
13 Dorian Finney-Smith BKN 10.3 5.2 1.6
14 Bilal Coulibaly WSH 10.1 3.9 1.9
15 Royce O'Neale BKN 9.7 4.4 3.5
16 Dennis Smith Jr. BKN 7.9 3.2 4.1
17 Danilo Gallinari WSH 7.3 3.6 1.4
18 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.9 7.6 1.2
19 Harry Giles III BKN 6.4 2.9 0.5
20 Trendon Watford BKN 5.7 3.4 1.3
21 Mike Muscala WSH 4.8 2.8 0.9
22 Eugene Omoruyi WSH 3.6 1.5 0.6
23 Jared Butler WSH 3.6 1.4 1.6
24 Anthony Gill WSH 2.0 1.1 0.4
25 Patrick Baldwin Jr. WSH 1.3 0.8 0.2

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.