NO @ SAC
NBA
Golden 1 Center
·Final
127–117
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 35 | 34 | 31 | 27 | 127 |
| SAC | 36 | 25 | 30 | 26 | 117 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SAC) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
SAC
57%
43%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram S | 40 | 30 | 8 | 6 |
| Herbert Jones S | 35 | 23 | 5 | 5 |
| Jonas Valanciunas S | 29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| CJ McCollum S | 36 | 17 | 2 | 7 |
| Trey Murphy III | 30 | 16 | 2 | 1 |
| Zion Williamson S | 28 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
| Jose Alvarado | 18 | 9 | 3 | 2 |
| Naji Marshall | 13 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Dyson Daniels | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cody Zeller | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Kevin Huerter ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:44 Q1
"Kevin Huerter makes 26-foot three pointer (Domantas Sabonis assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
De'Aaron Fox
SAC
16%
2
Domantas Sabonis
SAC
12%
3
Zion Williamson
NO
11%
4
Jonas Valanciunas
NO
10%
5
Brandon Ingram
NO
9%
6
CJ McCollum
NO
8%
7
Harrison Barnes
SAC
7%
8
Kevin Huerter
SAC
7%
9
Herbert Jones
NO
6%
10
Dyson Daniels
NO
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
18%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
48%
Jumper
12%
Layup
20%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De'Aaron Fox | SAC | 29.3 | 4.6 | 6.9 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 25.2 | 5.5 | 5.9 |
| 3 | Brandon Ingram | NO | 25.1 | 4.8 | 6.1 |
| 4 | Domantas Sabonis | SAC | 22.0 | 10.6 | 6.8 |
| 5 | CJ McCollum | NO | 19.7 | 4.6 | 6.0 |
| 6 | Jonas Valanciunas | NO | 16.8 | 10.1 | 2.8 |
| 7 | Kevin Huerter | SAC | 15.9 | 4.3 | 3.2 |
| 8 | Malik Monk | SAC | 15.4 | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| 9 | Herbert Jones | NO | 13.9 | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| 10 | Keegan Murray | SAC | 12.2 | 5.3 | 2.0 |
| 11 | Harrison Barnes | SAC | 12.1 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| 12 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 11.5 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
| 13 | Naji Marshall | NO | 9.7 | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| 14 | Dyson Daniels | NO | 8.0 | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| 15 | Trey Lyles | SAC | 7.5 | 3.9 | 1.0 |
| 16 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 17 | Sasha Vezenkov | SAC | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 18 | Davion Mitchell | SAC | 5.1 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| 19 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 20 | JaVale McGee | SAC | 4.4 | 3.9 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Keon Ellis | SAC | 4.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Colby Jones | SAC | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Cody Zeller | NO | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Kira Lewis Jr. | NO | 2.9 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| 25 | Jordan Ford | SAC | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 26 | Kessler Edwards | SAC | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 27 | Jalen Slawson | SAC | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.