WSH @ TOR
NBA
Scotiabank Arena
·Final
98–134
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 24 | 28 | 22 | 24 | 98 |
| TOR | 31 | 27 | 43 | 33 | 134 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 3 (TOR) / 3 (WSH) games this season
WSH
away
home
TOR
46%
54%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija S | 20 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 12 | 16 | 3 | 1 |
| Danilo Gallinari | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1 |
| Tyus Jones S | 24 | 11 | 3 | 3 |
| Delon Wright | 15 | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| Corey Kispert | 19 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Jordan Poole S | 20 | 7 | 2 | 4 |
| Jared Butler | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Daniel Gafford S | 18 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Ryan Rollins | 23 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Daniel Gafford ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 11:25 Q1
"Daniel Gafford makes alley oop dunk shot (Tyus Jones assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jordan Poole
WSH
19%
2
Scottie Barnes
TOR
12%
3
Pascal Siakam
TOR
12%
4
Daniel Gafford
WSH
11%
5
Chris Boucher
TOR
10%
6
Dennis Schroder
TOR
9%
7
OG Anunoby
TOR
9%
8
Bilal Coulibaly
WSH
8%
9
Tyus Jones
WSH
8%
10
Danilo Gallinari
WSH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
23%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
4%
Jumper
44%
Layup
24%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Barnes | TOR | 20.7 | 6.7 | 3.8 |
| 2 | Jordan Poole | WSH | 17.8 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| 3 | Pascal Siakam | TOR | 15.8 | 5.7 | 3.4 |
| 4 | OG Anunoby | TOR | 9.8 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| 5 | Dennis Schroder | TOR | 9.3 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| 6 | Tyus Jones | WSH | 9.1 | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| 7 | Jalen McDaniels | TOR | 8.4 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
| 8 | Bilal Coulibaly | WSH | 8.3 | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| 9 | Daniel Gafford | WSH | 8.2 | 6.0 | 0.7 |
| 10 | Chris Boucher | TOR | 8.2 | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| 11 | Corey Kispert | WSH | 7.9 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 12 | Danilo Gallinari | WSH | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 13 | Ryan Rollins | WSH | 7.4 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 14 | Malachi Flynn | TOR | 7.0 | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| 15 | Gradey Dick | TOR | 6.0 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Thaddeus Young | TOR | 5.7 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Delon Wright | WSH | 5.4 | 2.8 | 3.4 |
| 18 | Javon Freeman-Liberty | TOR | 5.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| 19 | Mouhamadou Gueye | TOR | 4.5 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Jared Butler | WSH | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.