DEN @ LAC
NBA
crypto.com Arena
·Final
103–116
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 25 | 26 | 21 | 31 | 103 |
| LAC | 25 | 35 | 31 | 25 | 116 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 2 (LAC) / 3 (DEN) games this season
DEN
away
home
LAC
10%
90%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Tyson | 27 | 19 | 4 | 2 |
| Reggie Jackson S | 22 | 15 | 3 | 1 |
| Braxton Key | 19 | 14 | 10 | 1 |
| Julian Strawther S | 27 | 12 | 0 | 2 |
| Zeke Nnaji | 22 | 11 | 5 | 2 |
| Peyton Watson S | 32 | 11 | 2 | 3 |
| DeAndre Jordan S | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| Amida Brimah | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Collin Gillespie | 18 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Justin Holiday S | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Russell Westbrook ·
Layup (2 pts) · 10:41 Q1
"Russell Westbrook makes driving layup"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Nikola Jokic
DEN
29%
2
Jamal Murray
DEN
19%
3
Aaron Gordon
DEN
19%
4
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
DEN
17%
5
Justin Holiday
DEN
15%
6
Braxton Key
DEN
0%
7
Hunter Tyson
DEN
0%
8
Jalen Pickett
DEN
0%
9
Peyton Watson
DEN
0%
10
Zeke Nnaji
DEN
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
17%
Dunk
20%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
22%
Layup
29%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nikola Jokic | DEN | 15.2 | 7.0 | 3.8 |
| 2 | Julian Strawther | DEN | 15.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| 3 | Jamal Murray | DEN | 13.0 | 3.0 | 4.9 |
| 4 | Hunter Tyson | DEN | 9.1 | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| 5 | Peyton Watson | DEN | 8.1 | 4.1 | 1.4 |
| 6 | Collin Gillespie | DEN | 7.7 | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 7 | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | 7.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| 8 | Zeke Nnaji | DEN | 7.4 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Aaron Gordon | DEN | 6.8 | 4.5 | 2.0 |
| 10 | Jalen Pickett | DEN | 5.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Justin Holiday | DEN | 5.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 12 | Braxton Key | DEN | 5.3 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.