NBA games

NZL @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
94114
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NZL1132222994
UTAH31282530114

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 3 (UTAH) / 1 (NZL) games this season
NZL away
home UTAH
17% 83%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Anthony Lamb S 29 23 7 1
Parker Jackson-Cartwright S 32 19 5 6
Izayah Le'Afa 28 12 2 1
Zylan Cheatham S 29 11 1 1
Mantas Rubstavicius 16 9 0 1
Mangok Mathiang S 26 6 4 0
Will McDowell-White S 28 6 4 4
Dane Pineau 14 4 3 1
Tom Abercrombie 25 2 3 1
Cameron Gliddon 9 2 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 17 15 7 0
Ochai Agbaji 16 12 4 3
Jordan Clarkson S 17 12 3 3
John Collins S 17 9 3 1
Keyonte George 16 8 1 2
Micah Potter 15 8 3 0
Collin Sexton 11 8 2 1
Walker Kessler S 11 8 2 1
Omer Yurtseven 9 7 5 1
Johnny Juzang 15 7 3 4

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jordan Clarkson · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:39 Q1
"Jordan Clarkson makes 26-foot three point jumper (Walker Kessler assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
27%
2 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH
24%
3 Walker Kessler UTAH
17%
4 John Collins UTAH
16%
5 Jordan Clarkson UTAH
15%
6 Kelly Olynyk UTAH
0%
7 Simone Fontecchio UTAH
0%
8 Luka Samanic UTAH
0%
9 Taylor Hendricks UTAH
0%
10 Omer Yurtseven UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
12%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
31%
Layup
14%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 20.0 8.8 1.5
2 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 16.0 5.0 4.1
3 Keyonte George UTAH 13.7 2.8 4.1
4 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 9.8 3.3 2.8
5 Collin Sexton UTAH 8.5 2.0 3.0
6 John Collins UTAH 8.3 3.9 0.8
7 Kris Dunn UTAH 8.1 2.4 1.8
8 Ochai Agbaji UTAH 7.0 2.5 0.8
9 Walker Kessler UTAH 6.7 5.7 1.0
10 Kelly Olynyk UTAH 6.5 4.4 2.8
11 Simone Fontecchio UTAH 5.4 2.4 1.5
12 Luka Samanic UTAH 4.1 2.5 0.7
13 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 4.1 4.2 0.4
14 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 4.0 2.1 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.