MIL @ LAL
NBA
crypto.com Arena
·Final
108–97
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 28 | 28 | 30 | 22 | 108 |
| LAL | 29 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 97 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 4 (LAL) / 2 (MIL) games this season
MIL
away
home
LAL
80%
20%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo S | 15 | 16 | 8 | 1 |
| Damian Lillard S | 22 | 14 | 2 | 3 |
| Cameron Payne | 26 | 12 | 3 | 7 |
| Pat Connaughton | 24 | 12 | 8 | 2 |
| Brook Lopez S | 22 | 11 | 4 | 3 |
| Bobby Portis | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 |
| Malik Beasley S | 24 | 8 | 5 | 2 |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Taurean Prince ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Taurean Prince makes 26-foot step back jumpshot (Rui Hachimura assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
D'Angelo Russell
LAL
33%
2
Anthony Davis
LAL
30%
3
Taurean Prince
LAL
19%
4
Gabe Vincent
LAL
17%
5
Christian Wood
LAL
0%
6
Rui Hachimura
LAL
0%
7
Maxwell Lewis
LAL
0%
8
Alex Fudge
LAL
0%
9
Jaxson Hayes
LAL
0%
10
Colin Castleton
LAL
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
56%
Dunk
13%
Free Throw
11%
Jumper
11%
Layup
9%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D'Angelo Russell | LAL | 17.6 | 3.2 | 6.3 |
| 2 | Anthony Davis | LAL | 12.7 | 6.2 | 1.7 |
| 3 | Rui Hachimura | LAL | 12.5 | 5.2 | 1.6 |
| 4 | Taurean Prince | LAL | 9.4 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 5 | Christian Wood | LAL | 9.3 | 5.1 | 1.0 |
| 6 | Max Christie | LAL | 9.0 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| 7 | Gabe Vincent | LAL | 8.8 | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| 8 | Maxwell Lewis | LAL | 6.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 9 | Jaxson Hayes | LAL | 6.1 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 10 | Jalen Hood-Schifino | LAL | 5.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
| 11 | Colin Castleton | LAL | 5.2 | 6.2 | 0.6 |
| 12 | D'Moi Hodge | LAL | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 13 | Alex Fudge | LAL | 3.8 | 2.4 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.