NBA games

UTAH @ GS

NBA Chase Center ·Final
116–123
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH27293327116
GS33303228123

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (GS) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home GS
7% 93%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keyonte George S 20 21 1 4
Taylor Hendricks S 41 16 8 2
Luka Samanic S 29 14 5 2
Brice Sensabaugh 29 14 3 0
Kira Lewis Jr. 28 13 3 3
Omer Yurtseven S 30 11 18 2
Micah Potter 21 10 8 1
Johnny Juzang S 19 8 1 2
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 16 7 1 6
Darius Bazley 7 2 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Klay Thompson S 20 25 3 3
Andrew Wiggins S 20 19 4 3
Gui Santos 24 13 5 2
Lester Quinones 17 12 1 3
Dario Saric 13 12 5 1
Moses Moody 17 9 1 2
Trayce Jackson-Davis S 21 8 0 1
Brandin Podziemski 21 7 9 2
Chris Paul S 23 6 4 6
Jerome Robinson 5 5 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Omer Yurtseven · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:39 Q1
"Omer Yurtseven makes 5-foot hook shot (Taylor Hendricks assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jonathan Kuminga GS
15%
2 Andrew Wiggins GS
13%
3 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS
13%
4 Omer Yurtseven UTAH
11%
5 Klay Thompson GS
11%
6 Luka Samanic UTAH
10%
7 Keyonte George UTAH
9%
8 Taylor Hendricks UTAH
9%
9 Johnny Juzang UTAH
8%
10 Darius Bazley UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
13%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
31%
Jumper
21%
Layup
28%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Klay Thompson GS 21.9 3.8 3.4
2 Jonathan Kuminga GS 19.6 5.4 3.4
3 Andrew Wiggins GS 17.1 5.3 2.0
4 Keyonte George UTAH 14.9 3.0 5.0
5 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS 12.1 8.9 1.9
6 Chris Paul GS 11.4 3.8 6.0
7 Brandin Podziemski GS 11.0 5.6 3.4
8 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 10.1 3.7 2.2
9 Talen Horton-Tucker UTAH 9.5 2.3 2.1
10 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 9.1 4.5 1.4
11 Moses Moody GS 9.0 3.2 1.7
12 Johnny Juzang UTAH 8.6 2.3 1.7
13 Omer Yurtseven UTAH 7.8 5.3 1.2
14 Luka Samanic UTAH 6.3 3.4 1.0
15 Darius Bazley UTAH 6.2 3.9 1.3
16 Kenneth Lofton Jr. UTAH 5.3 2.3 1.5
17 Kevon Looney GS 5.0 5.4 0.9
18 Micah Potter UTAH 3.5 2.4 0.6
19 Lester Quinones GS 3.5 1.3 0.6
20 Dario Saric GS 3.2 1.6 1.3
21 Jason Preston UTAH 2.8 2.2 1.7
22 Gui Santos GS 2.7 1.1 0.6
23 Kira Lewis Jr. UTAH 2.6 0.8 1.0
24 Jerome Robinson GS 2.1 0.8 0.5
25 Usman Garuba GS 1.9 1.2 0.4
26 Pat Spencer GS 1.8 0.7 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.